March 12, 2026
Active Investing Edge
By Geoff Bysshe
In this session, the MarketGauge mentor provides a tactical analysis of the markets on March 12, focusing on the extreme volatility driven by surging crude oil prices and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. The discussion centers on a "wait and see" theme, exploring how technical indicators like Real Motion and price action at the 200-day moving average act as critical inflection points for the S&P 500 (SPY) and NASDAQ (QQQ). A key psychological factor explored is the "Trump Put," the market's unspoken belief that political intervention or tweets will provide a floor during sharp declines. The mentor performs a deep dive into sector rotations, highlighting a significant flight to safety in Utilities (XLU), specifically looking at leaders like Duke Energy and PNW. Detailed trade setups are provided for high-conviction assets including NBIS (following Nvidia's investment), Microsoft, and Lunar Aerospace, alongside an analysis of why mining stocks like AEM are struggling due to rising energy costs. The session concludes by emphasizing discipline, urging traders to monitor the correlation between crude oil’s opening range and stock market stability.