Friday the markets are closed, and I am taking a brief hiatus beginning Thursday the 17th, back Monday the 21st.  In the past week I covered the 20+ year long bonds, a few picks that are holding up very well, and the MAGS ETF with a warning about the MAG7.  For the long weekend, we will look at the Economic Modern Family and what they are telling us right now.  The charts are weekly charts

The markets tell a story every week. Like chapters in an ever-evolving novel, sectors rise and fall, revealing critical insights for traders who know how to interpret them. However, without a structured analytical framework, these valuable signals often get lost in the noise of daily price action. A disciplined weekly sector analysis routine separates successful traders from the crowd. By systematically evaluating sector performance through a proven framework, you can anticipate market shifts, identify profitable

This week’s commentary is the Big View bullets.       Every week we review the big picture of the market's technical condition as seen through the lens of our Big View data charts. The bullets provide a quick summary organized by conditions we see as being risk-on, risk-off, or neutral.  The video analysis dives deeper.   Summary: The indexes continue to be news driven, reflected in the fear index (VIX) and Gold. On a technical

Many analysts are still out there touting the great opportunity in the MAG7 stocks.  For context, here are the top Holdings as of 04/14/2025  While there is some green as of today, the overall ETF is down close to 1% as of Tuesday’s close.  Nvidia NVDA closed green with news of the company investing $500 billion in the USA. It will take 4 years to build out the AI infrastructure.  What can we expect from the

Financial markets rarely follow a straight path. Like the changing seasons, different economic conditions favor different industries at various times. Savvy investors recognize this cyclical pattern and use it to their advantage. A sector-based ETF portfolio provides an effective way to navigate these market rhythms, allowing investors to position their assets for potential outperformance. By strategically allocating investments across sector ETFs, investors can harness market cycles rather than fight against them. This approach combines the

  The end of last week was one of the most tumultuous two days in the market in decades for price action, fiscal policy, and uncertainty among investors. However, let’s start with the good news. U.S. companies and citizens are extremely resourceful and have a history of finding solutions to tough situations. This country is in a tough situation, and we’ll find a solution. As tactical, active investors, our objective is to adapt to this

In my 2025 Outlook, I picked AbbVie Pharmaceuticals as one to watch this year.  Here is what I wrote:  AbbVie (ABBV) AbbVie primarily works in immunology, oncology, neuroscience, eye care, and virology. It is also the parent company of Allergan, the maker of Botox. Botox is one of the most well-known and widely used aesthetic treatments globally, primarily known for its cosmetic use in reducing wrinkles and fine lines. Hence, it fits in the “Vanity”

The markets don't reward the unprepared. While many investors focus on picking winning sectors or timing perfect entries, the truly successful ones know a different truth: masterful risk management often separates profitable investors from those who flame out. This reality becomes even more pronounced when implementing sophisticated approaches like sector rotation. For self-directed investors navigating sector rotation strategies, risk management isn't just a defensive tactic—it's the backbone of sustainable performance. Portfolio Construction for Risk Management

Friday’s market plunge capped off a bearish week and most likely the worst quarter since 2022. Tariffs are the news headline, and the Mag 7 are the biggest drag on the index price declines. This week, we’ll add the employment data to the list of big market concerns. However, what should we, as active investors, focus on or, as some may view it, fear most? What’s going to determine the depth of this market correction?

This past week, I got to talk about buys in a sea of sells.  Amidst the falling dollar, rising yields, nasty trade war and poor earnings guidance, I went shopping.  The first chart is of Uranium.  In this segment with Nicole Petallides, I talk about why this trade attracted me when it got near its 52-week low.  And note that typical of commodities, they are often most valuable when they look the worst.  Speaking of,

While many traders focus on broad indices like the S&P 500 or Nasdaq, the real opportunities often lie within sector movements. The stock market is an ecosystem where different sectors rise and fall based on economic conditions, market sentiment, and capital flows. Understanding which sectors are strengthening and which are weakening allows you to anticipate market shifts and position yourself accordingly. Let’s explore how technical analysis can enhance your sector trading strategy. Understanding Sector Rotation

Last Wednesday, Fed Chair Powell delivered the best news he’s presented on a FOMC day since last July, as measured by the market’s reaction. This is illustrated in the chart below. Was the Fed really bullish? Interestingly, the data that the Fed presented wouldn’t normally be what you’d expect to spur both stocks and bonds to rally. As you can see in the chart below that illustrates the changes in the high and low Fed

Among the throngs of headlines on X, this one came out today  PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP JUST SAID: - ANNOUNCED THE TARIFF PAUSE BECAUSE PEOPLE GETTING AFRAID - REVERSED TARIFFS FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME, NOTHING IS OVER YET  Earlier today, Trump said,  Those who follow me regularly know that I have ranted about taking Trump and his right-hand men at face value.  Clearly, the market did after he first foreshadowed the rally and then

Most investors watch their portfolios rise and fall with market trends, but experienced traders strategically shift assets between sectors to capitalize on economic cycles. This approach—sector rotation—is not just for Wall Street professionals. With the right framework, technical indicators, and implementation strategy, you can build a system that delivers strong returns while managing risk. Let's explore how to build each element of your personal sector rotation system. Developing a Systematic Sector Rotation Framework A successful

Last week, the S&P 500 joined the Nasdaq 100, earning the designation of being in a “Correction” by declining 10% from the high. It’s tempting to look for reasons to believe that the market is near the bottom, but first, let’s look at the big-picture conditions that created this situation. If we look at the topics of the last several Market Outlook articles we can see the problems unfold. Feb 9th: Inflation fears expressed by