From a consumer instinct perspective, I still here about couples hooking up for a permanent union through Match.com. Match has been under pressure since its peak in 2021. Activist investors have been pushing for changes post-pandemic. According to Zachs, “On the business front, the firm is currently seeing mixed response from paying Tinder users, but its Hinge app posted 48% annual revenue growth to $134 million in the second quarter.” The reason is making the

In the high-stakes world of investing, ARM Leveraged ETFs are like financial superchargers, capable of turbocharged returns but also potentially explosive losses. These complex investment vehicles have captured the attention of savvy investors looking to amplify their market moves. This article will demystify ARM Leveraged ETFs, breaking down their inner workings and exploring the potential they hold for your investment strategy. We'll dive into the mechanics that drive these powerful financial instruments, uncover the rewards

I’m filling in for Donn this week so he can enjoy a much deserved break for this holiday weekend. This bull market is ready for anything the election will throw at it, but which sectors of the market will come out ahead is a little less clear. Here’s a way to navigate the uncertainty using sector rotation. Next week will mark the 2-year anniversary of the Oct 15th 2022 low that marked the beginning of

China-the US has tried to sanction the country into irreparable hardship. But China moves along regardless. China has shifted gears to increase domestic production. Huawei is one example of a company that sanctions left practically bankrupt, that now has soaring revenues. With the help of the Chinese government, that company and others are benefitting from a blend of state-run incentives and private and innovative entrepreneurship. Huawei and China are now top producers of Smart Phones

The Sharpe ratio is a crucial metric for evaluating risk-adjusted returns in the world of investment and portfolio management. Named after Nobel laureate William F. Sharpe, this ratio helps investors understand the return of an investment compared to its risk. If you're looking to optimize your portfolio's performance, learning how to maximize the Sharpe ratio can be a game-changer. In this article, we'll explore what the Sharpe ratio is and provide strategies to help you

Welcome back and thanks for your loyal support of this weekly column.  This past Tuesday, October 1, 2024, we welcomed the beginning of the 4th Quarter, typically the start of the best quarter for investing in the stock market.   See the chart below for October-November and December average performance of the S&P 500: Welcome to the show reminds me of a popular song from the 1970’s (my era) group Emerson, Lake & Palmer. They were

The ultimate technical pattern that represents indecision is when by midweek, the price range remains stuck inside the trading pattern of the week prior. Such is the case with these 4 Economic Modern Family members. Granny Retail XRT held critical support thus far, but still has that 10 month consolidation range to break up or down. Gramps Russell 2000 IWM, to his credit, has hung in there with the rising yields and dollar. Nonetheless, IWM

Are you feeling the pressure to supercharge your retirement savings? You're not alone. Many of us are juggling career demands, family responsibilities, and the ever-present need to secure our financial future. If you're looking for a way to take your investment strategy to the next level, it's time to explore the world of alpha modeling. In this post, we'll dive into what alpha modeling is, how it's used in the investment world, and how a

Welcome back readers.  Glad to have you.  Last week we discussed the Fed’s new loosening monetary stance as they aggressively lowered the Fed overnight borrowing rate.  If you have not had a chance to read or perhaps want to reread, you can go here. This week, we want to delve into China’s actions this past week as they made it apparent to the world that they needed to stimulate their economy, and they were aggressive

From November 2022 until the present, what do you see? Bulls will see strong bottoms around $65. Bears will see major tops between $90-$95. Opportunists will see volatility and a reason to sit aside as at $73-$74 oil is in the middle of the range. I see a neutralizing slope on the 50-DMA (blue). I see a flat slope on the 200-DMA (green). I see major support around $72 and good resistance at $80. I

Navigating the stock market's ups and downs is always intimidating, no matter how long you've been investing in your retirement. Even the most experienced investors find themselves puzzled by fluctuating stock prices that don't always seem to mirror earnings reports or financial forecasts. But there are other clues you can use when determining the value of a stock. In a recent discussion, Mish Schneider highlighted an interesting aspect of the market that often eludes traditional

Welcome back readers.  Hope you had a profitable week in the markets. The Fed pulls the trigger. In the last two Market Outlooks we expressed our strong belief that the Fed would lower the overnight lending rate at their upcoming Fed meeting which occurred last Wednesday.   If you have not had a chance to read last week’s Market Outlook, you may do so by going here. We suggested the Fed would do no more than

I had another dream over the weekend. This dream wasn’t the same as the ones I have had about sugar in 2019 or gold in 2020 or the Swiss Franc in 2024. Those were literally out of the blue, based on some who-knows-from-where voice in my head that wakes me up. This dream was more of a real dream, which I believe was based on assimilation of the news, charts and our own actual position

Market corrections are a natural part of the investing landscape, often viewed with apprehension by both new and seasoned investors. Understanding how to navigate these periods effectively is crucial for anyone looking to maintain and grow their investment over time. In this post, we will explore essential strategies that can help turn the inevitable market downturns into opportunities for portfolio growth and resilience, inspired by insights from Geoff Bysshe at MarketGauge. How to Make Sense

Happy to have you back with us.  We hope that you had a good week in the markets as we watched most of our models outperform during this snapback rally. The Door is Open. Investors have been anxiously waiting for the Fed to “take action” and reverse the interest rate tightening they began in early 2022.  This past week new “data” came out showing a continued decline in wholesale and consumer prices. With the CPI