While December 1st brought out the bulls in nearly EVERYTHING, one area caught our attention. In December 2019 I saw a similar chart showing an unsustainable ratio between equities and commodities which started me on the notion that something had to give. Now that I see this chart, with emerging markets at 50-year lows versus the U.S. markets, that does not necessarily mean the ratio will unravel in a month, or 2 or even more.

Navigating the stock market often feels like charting a course through an intricate maze. One significant challenge traders encounter is identifying and timing sector rotation. Why does it matter? Sector rotation is a crucial element of a well-crafted sector rotation trading strategy. It's the strategic maneuver of shifting investment assets from one sector of the economy to another. Mastering it can offer a substantial advantage in optimizing portfolio returns and minimizing risk exposure. This article

November 2023 surpassed all expectations in the stock and bond markets.  Those investors who participated hit the bullseye. The month started off with a cooling CPI and PPI along with GDP jumping and the Fed’s hawkish stance softening.  This was the exact recipe for lower interest rates, a weakening dollar, and risk-on assets beginning to recover and rally, producing a month of stock market returns that was one for the record books. The S&P 500

Despite the total cuts by all countries added at the November 30th OPEC+ meeting, oil sold off testing key support. Countries like Angola have threatened not to stick to the new quota, promising to produce above target. Meanwhile, Brazil confirmed it will join OPEC+. That means that some of the pressure by non-OPEC producing countries offsetting the cuts is now somewhat mitigated. Nonetheless, the question is once the dust settles, will these 2.2 million barrels

In the fast-paced world of swing trading, having the right information at the right time is critical. You can’t constantly watch every chart, monitor indicators, and do your due diligence on each trade opportunity that comes up - you need help. Enter swing trade alerts. Swing trade alerts keep an eye on key data and trends, alerting you when something important happens so that you can add valuable context to a potential trade decision. Using

Welcome back Gaugers.  We hope that you have had an enjoyable Thanksgiving holiday and have been participating in the positive markets that we have recently experienced. Most major indices finished this holiday shortened week up around 1%.  Interest rates have been drifting lower and now we are below 4.5% on the 10-year Treasury.  This is a steep decline over the past month after hitting 5% in late October.  See chart below: The above illustration is

Monday after the close, some warnings signs from our risk gauges popped up. These are especially interesting given the number of bulls and the amount of money coming into the market. Technically, we still have the resistance that has not cleared in small caps, retail, or transportation. And this with a declining dollar, bullish gold, plus renewed buying in agricultural commodities. Could these warnings reverse? Yes, but this is the most risk off we have seen

Swing trade alerts, with their potential to be a trader's best ally, are only as effective as their utilization and evaluation. In a financial world teeming with noise, understanding and assessing the value of these alerts becomes paramount. Whether you're a seasoned swing trader or relatively new, developing a deep understanding of how to evaluate the effectiveness of these alerts can drastically impact your trading outcomes. Let's delve into the intricate world of swing trade

We wish you, our loyal readers and subscribers, a very Happy Thanksgiving Day! We hope that you enjoy this day of gratefulness with family and good friends.  We thank you for being part of our extended family, and we look forward to continuing to earn your trust and loyalty. Gaugers, we also hope that you had a prosperous investing week in the markets.  If you are following some or all of our investment strategies, we

Over the weekend I covered small caps, retail, semiconductors and transportation. The conclusion was “If you put these four charts all together, we get a reunion that is filled with the makings of a family breakdown. While Granny XRT and Sister Semiconductors SMH give us investors reasons to feel good about gorging ourselves, the rest of the Family (IWM IYT) remind us not to eat what we cannot digest.” Today, we cover 2 other sectors

In an era of instant updates, live data streams, advanced tools, and more markets than ever to take advantage of, swing trading is a technique that many traders are practicing - and for good reason. Swing trading is a trading strategy where you aim to capture gains in a financial asset, like a stock or ETF, within a period of a few days to several weeks. Unlike day trading, which involves buying and selling within

Due to travel schedules, this week’s Market Outlook will be exclusively the Big View bullets and the “one thing.” The “one thing” is an exercise I practice in our weekly members-only mentoring sessions, which involves answering the question, “If you could only focus on one thing in the coming day (or in this case - week) to keep you on the right side of the market, what would it be?” Then make sure you don’t

In the 1995 film, Home for the Holidays, family reunions are explored. Using both drama and comedy, the film illustrates how we outsiders looking in never really know the love and the madness that goes on inside family’s homes during Thanksgiving. Happily, our Economic Modern Family tends to be transparent. Beginning with our patriarch and matriarch, we see 2 different phases, similarities in leadership and divergent momentum. The Russell 2000 IWM is in a recovery

In the world of swing trading, timing is more than just a buzzword; it's a critical factor that can make or break your profitability. Successful swing trading is about capturing the 'swing' in price movements, and for this, timing your entry and exit points is crucial. Enter too late, and you miss the bulk of the potential profit; exit too early, and you may leave money on the table. Let's consider a hypothetical example: Stock

Hello Gaugers.  Hope it was a profitable and more enjoyable week in the markets for you (then last). The Stock and Bond markets think the door has closed or is about to close on future rate hikes.  Stocks soared and rates came down (bonds rallied).  Everything turned on a dime. Read on for more details. You may recall the 3 charts we posted last week. Those charts had an abundance of history behind them, and