TA Monday: Is the ARKK Fund Ready to Play Nice?

October 28, 2024

Mish's Daily, by Mish Schneider


Considering the bull market of 2024, Cathie Wood’s ARKK fund (she has 6 ETFs) over 2 years and a lot of sideways price action, could now be a potential player. Remember, ARKK peaked in 2021 at 159.70. Then ARKK crashed to its trough at 29.43 in 2022. And while we are still not wowed by the overwhelming underperformance, we do think the fund is worth a look as it takes out the April 2024 highs.

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ARM Leveraged ETFs: A Guide to Risks, Rewards, and Strategies

September 23, 2024

Blog & Resources, by Dan Taylor


In the high-stakes world of investing, ARM Leveraged ETFs are like financial superchargers, capable of turbocharged returns but also potentially explosive losses. These complex investment vehicles have captured the attention of savvy investors looking to amplify their market moves. This article will demystify ARM Leveraged ETFs, breaking down their inner workings and exploring the potential they hold for your investment strategy. We'll dive into the mechanics that drive these powerful financial instruments, uncover the rewards

Silhouettes of a bull and a bear on a blue stock market background.
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Welcome to November:
Earnings & Election Jitters Spook the Markets

November 3, 2024

Weekly Market Outlook, by Donn Goodman


Welcome back, readers.  Hopefully, you had a good week (perhaps participating in Halloween festivities) and were able to “tune out” the election noise that seems to resonate every minute of the day on social media or on television shows. I watch a fair amount of sports-NFL and NBA games, and I have noticed that every commercial is full of local and national political ads.  Couple this with an onslaught of earnings announcements, especially the Mag

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Stock and Commodity Market Thoughts

October 24, 2024

Mish's Daily, by Mish Schneider


When I am asked to do an interview on the media, the producer(s) ask for my notes on market conditions. As I will appear at 9 PM ET on CNBC Asia First in Singapore, here are the comments I sent them earlier today. As the SPY corrects a bit from the recent run up to all-time highs, we still have keen eyes on other sectors. Looking at four areas of the Economic Modern Family: Retail

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How to Maximize the Sharpe Ratio in Your Portfolio

August 24, 2024

Blog & Resources, by Dan Taylor


The Sharpe ratio is a crucial metric for evaluating risk-adjusted returns in the world of investment and portfolio management. Named after Nobel laureate William F. Sharpe, this ratio helps investors understand the return of an investment compared to its risk. If you're looking to optimize your portfolio's performance, learning how to maximize the Sharpe ratio can be a game-changer. In this article, we'll explore what the Sharpe ratio is and provide strategies to help you

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“Frighteningly” Great Markets This Past Year Make History.
Going Forward Should We Be “Scared”?

October 27, 2024

Weekly Market Outlook, by Donn Goodman


Happy Pre-Halloween and nice to have you back. Hopefully you had a “decent” investment week although it was the first down week for the S&P in the past 7.  We mentioned the historical negative 3rd week of October in last week’s Market Outlook.  The third week of October (especially in election years which is 2 weeks out of an important decision) tends to lean negative.  If you have not had a chance to read last

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First Gold, Silver, Maybe Sugar, and Now Soybeans?

October 23, 2024

Mish's Daily, by Mish Schneider


If this is truly shaping up to be a time for commodities, especially ones undervalued, then let’s expand beyond gold and silver. Don’t get me wrong. I see more upside in both metals. Remember my trifecta of inflation indicators? Silver to gold-has to outperform-maybe starting The Dollar breaks 100-not yet Sugar-has to clear 22.50 cents a pound-almost Add to that soybeans because often we have seen silver and soybeans rally together. Here is sugar right

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Alpha Modeling: The Secret Weapon for Boosting Your Retirement Strategy

August 21, 2024

Blog & Resources, by Dan Taylor


Are you feeling the pressure to supercharge your retirement savings? You're not alone. Many of us are juggling career demands, family responsibilities, and the ever-present need to secure our financial future. If you're looking for a way to take your investment strategy to the next level, it's time to explore the world of alpha modeling. In this post, we'll dive into what alpha modeling is, how it's used in the investment world, and how a

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Various Assets Extend Their Hot Streaks
Can It Continue? (You Might Be Surprised)

October 20, 2024

Weekly Market Outlook, by Donn Goodman


Welcome back readers and loyal subscribers.  Glad you are with us.  We hope that you had a good week and were able to profit from the various markets that continued to move higher. If you are following any of the MarketGauge models, including but not limited to the ETF Sector Plus, Profit Navigator, GEMS, Small & Midcap Earnings Growth or a few others, then hopefully this recent period has helped us earn even your confidence

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Turnaround Tuesday: Junk Bonds Flash Caution

October 22, 2024

Mish's Daily, by Mish Schneider


Since the end of 2023 and throughout most of 2024, the high yield, high debt bonds have been on a tear. However, the party could be over. Could be. I follow the junk bonds closely, as they literally told us to exit the market and buy long bonds right before Covid hit. Looking at today’s Daily chart of HYG, the price entered an unconfirmed warning phase today. This is noteworthy as it is the first

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How to Use Market Sentiment and Consumer Behavior to Value Stocks | MarketGauge.com

July 31, 2024

Blog & Resources, by Dan Taylor


Navigating the stock market's ups and downs is always intimidating, no matter how long you've been investing in your retirement. Even the most experienced investors find themselves puzzled by fluctuating stock prices that don't always seem to mirror earnings reports or financial forecasts. But there are other clues you can use when determining the value of a stock. In a recent discussion, Mish Schneider highlighted an interesting aspect of the market that often eludes traditional

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The October 2022 Baby Bull is Back and All Grown Up

October 13, 2024

Weekly Market Outlook, by Geoff Bysshe


I’m filling in for Donn this week so he can enjoy a much deserved break for this holiday weekend. This bull market is ready for anything the election will throw at it, but which sectors of the market will come out ahead is a little less clear. Here’s a way to navigate the uncertainty using sector rotation. Next week will mark the 2-year anniversary of the Oct 15th 2022 low that marked the beginning of

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Can Biotechnology Make a Seasonal Move Higher?

October 21, 2024

Mish's Daily, by Mish Schneider


I have commented but not focused too much on our Big Brother Biotechnology, IBB. My weekend comments were, “IBB remains stuck in its weekly trading range. Remember, the longer the range sustains, the better the move out of it tends to be. IBB gets interesting over 150.” So what about that trading range and current levels? The Daily chart has several technical indicators. Price in candlesticks. The July 6-month calendar range high and low (green

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Mastering Market Corrections: Evergreen Strategies for Building a Resilient Investment Portfolio

July 22, 2024

Blog & Resources, by Dan Taylor


Market corrections are a natural part of the investing landscape, often viewed with apprehension by both new and seasoned investors. Understanding how to navigate these periods effectively is crucial for anyone looking to maintain and grow their investment over time. In this post, we will explore essential strategies that can help turn the inevitable market downturns into opportunities for portfolio growth and resilience, inspired by insights from Geoff Bysshe at MarketGauge. How to Make Sense

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Welcome to the Show!
Best Seasonal Sector Investments.

October 6, 2024

Weekly Market Outlook, by Donn Goodman


Welcome back and thanks for your loyal support of this weekly column.  This past Tuesday, October 1, 2024, we welcomed the beginning of the 4th Quarter, typically the start of the best quarter for investing in the stock market.   See the chart below for October-November and December average performance of the S&P 500: Welcome to the show reminds me of a popular song from the 1970’s (my era) group Emerson, Lake & Palmer. They were

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