Written by Michele Schneider and Wade Dawson The overall market is at a crucial intersection. Let's take a deeper look at a few Modern Family members focusing on semiconductors (SMH), long bonds (TLT), small caps (IWM), and retail (XRT). These sectors will be crucial to determining the market's trajectory for the rest of the year. You can see on the daily chart above on Grandpa Russell (IWM) how close IWM is to the 200-day moving

Monday’s rally was the 3rd best performance for the first trading day of October since 1930. When followed by yesterday’s rally, the two-day rally became the strongest since April 2020 when the market was roaring back from the pandemic crash. This rally comes at a very pivotal point in the bear market’s trend as you can see from the weekly chart below. The SPY in the chart is sitting on its 200-week moving average and

Hello Gaugers. We hope that you had a joyful, relaxing, and nourishing Thanksgiving. During our “grateful” round the table session, I thought about how grateful I was just to enjoy a delicious meal with my family. Unfortunately, many people were not so lucky. This year, according to a poll by PersonalCapital.com, only 74 percent of Americans were expected to celebrate Thanksgiving because 1 in 4 Americans are skipping the holiday to save money… In 2021, researchers noted

Written by Keith Schneider (on behalf of Michele Schneider) and Wade Dawson As the Thanksgiving holiday shopping weekend is here, we will look at Granny Retail XRT (SPDR S&P Retail ETF). Investors and retailers are also closely monitoring consumption over the holiday weekend. The National Retail Federation estimates that 166.3 million Americans will shop through Cyber Monday, up by 8 million people from last year. Consumers are saving less and charging more - but still

In May of 2021 I outlined a dangerous condition of excessive margin debt that looked remarkably similar to only two other periods in the last 3 decades – 2000 and 2007. You may recall that both of those periods didn’t end well for the bulls. At the time of the post, however, the rate of margin debt growth was at record levels and still growing, and as I noted at the time… While margin debt

Dear Gaugers, from our families to yours, everyone at MarketGauge (and related companies) wishes you and your families a happy, healthy, and grateful Thanksgiving holiday. Even with a rough year in the financial markets and hot inflation, there is still so much for us all to be thankful for. What might be the 3 things that come to your mind when you go around the table, and everyone asks, “what are you most grateful for

Written by Keith Schneider (on behalf of Michele Schneider) and Wade Dawson As the Thanksgiving holiday shopping season approaches, we will look at our Big View leading sector ETFs and the current tug-of-war between Consumer Discretionary (XLY) and Consumer Staples (XLP). The chart displays the price spread between Consumer Discretionary (XLY) over Consumer Staples (XLP). Consumer Staples leads as the ratio price declines, as above. Staples are viewed as needs, and consumer discretionary are more

Attention day traders and swing traders (options traders too)... There’s a very effective calculated price level that can be used to anticipate intra-day breakouts and reversals in stocks, ETFs, and indexes when you use it correctly. For example, when you combine this price level with MarketGauge’s Opening Range trading tactics… You can easily identify the very reliable trade setup that I review in the video below. This pattern can be used as a trade setup

By Keith Schneider and Donn Goodman Readers of our Market Outlook and followers of MarketGauge will now be referred to as our Gaugers. Hope you are having a good weekend Gaugers. For any and all Veterans that we count among our readers, Thank You for your service as we keep Veterans in our thoughts and prayers. This past week saw the CPI numbers come out indicating that inflation has begun to cool. On Thursday morning

Written by Keith Schneider (on behalf of Michele Schneider) and Wade Dawson The market had a relatively quiet day as investors look to the Thanksgiving holiday. Stocks did end lower on Monday, with the QQQs declining 1.1%. DIA lost 0.06% today. As seen in the chart above, starting from October 11, 2022, the Dow Jones (represented by DIA) outperformed the other key US Indices. In comparison to the tech heavy QQQs, which are down -29.71%

Yesterday the market gapped higher after testing important support levels the day before. With the markets sitting at very pivotal inflection points in their long-term trends, this was a perfect opportunity to use MarketGauge’s Opening Range tactics to determine whether or not the gap was an indication of a market bottom and trade it accordingly. In this video, I review how to use the Opening Range to: Anticipate the general market’s direction Use it to

This past Wednesday began like any other Federal Reserve announcement day.  The markets were on edge.  The week leading up to the Fed meeting was met with continuous speculation that the Fed might pivot.  Even the White House was endorsing the possibility. At 2:15 EST, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stepped to the microphone to announce that the Fed voted to raise the overnight lending rate, yet again.  As expected, they were instituting a 0.75% (75

Written by Keith Schneider (on behalf of Michele Schneider) and Wade Dawson It can take time to determine what financial news to trust and who to follow with many conflicting market opinions and a 24-hour-driven news culture. That's one reason we use a rules-based methodology and quant modeling combined with our proprietary trading indicators to help us make informed decisions about where the market is headed next. The Risk On / Risk Off Gauge is

Last week was a wild week in the cryptocurrency market. Sentiment has quickly changed from 50/50 bullish vs. bearish to almost entirely bullish in just the last 10 days. This is indicative of the significance that non-technical factors can have in the price action of cryptos. On the other hand, technical analysis of recent market action spells out clear trade opportunities that investor sentiment may ignore. Similar to the S&P 500 (SPY) being commonly used

(Keith, Mish and I will be at the Orlando Money Show over the next few days.  Mish will be presenting twice to interested attendees.  If you will be in attendance, please email us so we can meet up and have a chat.  Send an email to Keith@MarketGauge.com) Happy Halloween! When it comes to the stock market, October is often referred to as the “cruelest month of the year”.  For 2022 not so much.  In fact,