Long Bonds TLT: Agony and Ecstasy

December 4, 2024

Mish's Daily, by Mish Schneider


Today, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell spoke. Some highlights U.S. BUDGET IS ON AN UNSUSTAINABLE PATH; REVENUE AND SPENDING NEED TO BE BETTER ALIGNED CENTRAL BANK CANNOT TAKE DEBT AND DEFICITS INTO ACCOUNT IN SETTING RATES; NEEDS TO FOCUS ON INFLATION THE FED IS FAR FROM A SITUATION OF FISCAL DOMINANCE, USES ITS TOOLS TO ACHIEVE MANDATE ON INFLATION AND JOBS BITCOIN IS USED AS A SPECULATIVE ASSET; IT IS A COMPETITOR

Read More...

ARM Leveraged ETFs: A Guide to Risks, Rewards, and Strategies

September 23, 2024

Blog & Resources, by Dan Taylor


In the high-stakes world of investing, ARM Leveraged ETFs are like financial superchargers, capable of turbocharged returns but also potentially explosive losses. These complex investment vehicles have captured the attention of savvy investors looking to amplify their market moves. This article will demystify ARM Leveraged ETFs, breaking down their inner workings and exploring the potential they hold for your investment strategy. We'll dive into the mechanics that drive these powerful financial instruments, uncover the rewards

Silhouettes of a bull and a bear on a blue stock market background.
Read More...

Will Stocks Continue To Rhyme With 2016?

December 1, 2024

Weekly Market Outlook, by Geoff Bysshe


From everyone at MarketGauge, we hope you’ve had an enjoyable Thanksgiving weekend and that it kicks off a happy and healthy holiday season for you and the ones you love. November closed with the distinction of being one of the strongest November’s in the last 20+ years and the best-performing month of the year in the S&P 500. A Month That Sets The Stage For What’s Next The month’s market action was greatly influenced by

Read More...

Turnaround Tuesday: A Look at Emerging Markets

December 3, 2024

Mish's Daily, by Mish Schneider


The DAX is a stock market index consisting of the 40 major German blue-chip companies trading on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange.   Here are the top five weighted sectors:  Sector Weightings  Industrials 24.51%  Financial Services 20.33%  Technology 18.47%  Consumer Cyclical 10.27%  Communication Services 7.25%  The German economy, hit hard by a manufacturing slowdown and weak demand for its exports, has struggled in 2024 and is on course to contract for a second straight year.  However, despite headwinds, the DAX jumped above 20,000

Read More...

How to Maximize the Sharpe Ratio in Your Portfolio

August 24, 2024

Blog & Resources, by Dan Taylor


The Sharpe ratio is a crucial metric for evaluating risk-adjusted returns in the world of investment and portfolio management. Named after Nobel laureate William F. Sharpe, this ratio helps investors understand the return of an investment compared to its risk. If you're looking to optimize your portfolio's performance, learning how to maximize the Sharpe ratio can be a game-changer. In this article, we'll explore what the Sharpe ratio is and provide strategies to help you

An illustration of futuristic bar and line graphs on a multi-colored background.
Read More...

Is The Market Cautiously Rotating at New Highs?

November 24, 2024

Weekly Market Outlook, by Geoff Bysshe


Last week started with the anticipation of how the market would respond to its prior week’s pullback from the enthusiastic post-election rally. Even without a boost from NVDA’s earnings report, the stock market resumed its bull trend in some encouraging ways. First, as you can see in the daily chart below, the Russell 2000 (IWM) small caps had a strong week, and it bounced off of its recent breakout highs. This pattern of retracing to

Read More...

Technical Monday: Novo-Nordisk, A Love Story

December 2, 2024

Mish's Daily, by Mish Schneider


Novo Nordisk, the company behind Ozempic and Wegovy, is now Europe's largest company as global demand for its drugs have soared.   However, the Danish pharmaceutical began because of more personal reasons.  In the early 1920s, Nobel laureate August Krogh and his wife Marie, a doctor living with diabetes met at the Danish Medical School, where August was Marie's professor.  They fell in love. At the time, Canadian scientists were working on a miracle cure for diabetes:

Read More...

Alpha Modeling: The Secret Weapon for Boosting Your Retirement Strategy

August 21, 2024

Blog & Resources, by Dan Taylor


Are you feeling the pressure to supercharge your retirement savings? You're not alone. Many of us are juggling career demands, family responsibilities, and the ever-present need to secure our financial future. If you're looking for a way to take your investment strategy to the next level, it's time to explore the world of alpha modeling. In this post, we'll dive into what alpha modeling is, how it's used in the investment world, and how a

An illustration of a man looking at bar and line graphs on a blue background.
Read More...

Stocks Pull Back After Initial Election Euphoria.
Big Rotation in Sectors and Assets Classes.

November 17, 2024

Weekly Market Outlook, by Donn Goodman


Welcome back readers. Glad to have you.  A quick shout out to Geoff who did an excellent job filling in last week as I was travelling.  Speaking of traveling, during my travels, I heard from one of our readers who is a savvy financial guy who said to me, “I don’t follow people like you because you tell me what happened but because you will give me your point of view.”  So noted. The election

Read More...

The Economic Modern Family Talks Turkey

November 27, 2024

Mish's Daily, by Mish Schneider


While this is the last Daily of this week, I want to start with a quick rundown of the Economic Modern Family.  As Friday is a ½ day and Black Friday, we can only guess that based on a strong yet discerning consumer, Granny Retail XRT should hold the gap up it started this past week with. If that is the case, we anticipate a move higher for the coming week.  Granddad Russell 2000 IWM,

Read More...

How to Use Market Sentiment and Consumer Behavior to Value Stocks | MarketGauge.com

July 31, 2024

Blog & Resources, by Dan Taylor


Navigating the stock market's ups and downs is always intimidating, no matter how long you've been investing in your retirement. Even the most experienced investors find themselves puzzled by fluctuating stock prices that don't always seem to mirror earnings reports or financial forecasts. But there are other clues you can use when determining the value of a stock. In a recent discussion, Mish Schneider highlighted an interesting aspect of the market that often eludes traditional

A gray Tesla parked
Read More...

Election Trend Trades Take Off

November 10, 2024

Weekly Market Outlook, by Geoff Bysshe


For months, traders have been focused on the potential for the election to lead to a burst of volatility in the markets, followed by clarity on which political party would steer fiscal policy for the foreseeable future. The election didn’t disappoint. Election reaction moves in many markets were the biggest in years, and the gauge of expected future volatility (VIX) collapsed, suggesting that traders and investors were pleasantly surprised at how quickly and orderly the

Read More...

Turnaround Tuesday: Rivian

November 26, 2024

Mish's Daily, by Mish Schneider


I have a few central themes for 2025.  One is the ‘vanity’ trade based on the diet drugs. News today was that Biden administration is looking to expand coverage for the drugs through Medicare.  That could be reversed by Trump of course, but I do not think it will be.  Another theme is EVs-not so popular given the tariffs for one.  And secondly, given that Trump is threatening to remove the $7500 tax credit for

Read More...

Mastering Market Corrections: Evergreen Strategies for Building a Resilient Investment Portfolio

July 22, 2024

Blog & Resources, by Dan Taylor


Market corrections are a natural part of the investing landscape, often viewed with apprehension by both new and seasoned investors. Understanding how to navigate these periods effectively is crucial for anyone looking to maintain and grow their investment over time. In this post, we will explore essential strategies that can help turn the inevitable market downturns into opportunities for portfolio growth and resilience, inspired by insights from Geoff Bysshe at MarketGauge. How to Make Sense

An illustration of futuristic bar and line graphs on a multi-colored background.
Read More...

Welcome to November:
Earnings & Election Jitters Spook the Markets

November 3, 2024

Weekly Market Outlook, by Donn Goodman


Welcome back, readers.  Hopefully, you had a good week (perhaps participating in Halloween festivities) and were able to “tune out” the election noise that seems to resonate every minute of the day on social media or on television shows. I watch a fair amount of sports-NFL and NBA games, and I have noticed that every commercial is full of local and national political ads.  Couple this with an onslaught of earnings announcements, especially the Mag

Read More...