Active Investing Edge Mentoring for 06/09/2026
Video Summary:
Geoff centers this session on the emerging "supply trap" created by the upcoming SpaceX IPO and news that OpenAI and Anthropic have officially filed their own paperwork, which Geoff believes is forcing fund managers to sell existing winners to raise capital. Geoff analyzes the "awful" technical reversal in Apple, noting that the market’s rejection of its AI announcements has effectively removed it from his active leadership list for the time being. Geoff also provides an intermarket road map, highlighting that while tech is under pressure, the rotation into the equal-weighted S&P (RSP) and small caps remains constructive as long as crude oil continues its textbook short pattern. Finally, Geoff showcases a new feature in the charting application: a visual ranking indicator that displays short, intermediate, and long-term health directly on the price chart to streamline trade selection.
Session Highlights & Chapters:
- SESSION HIGHLIGHTS:
- [The IPO Supply Trap] (00:10:30) - Analysis of how the massive liquidity needs for SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic are acting as a bearish weight on the high-flying tech sector as institutions raise cash.
- [The Intermarket Rotation Signal] (00:22:45) - Identification of a "textbook" short pattern in crude oil and how falling energy prices are providing the necessary tailwind for the RSP and small caps to lead.
- [The Apple AI Rejection] (00:48:15) - A breakdown of the "disaster" pullback in Apple, explaining why the failed breakout at the developer conference signals a lack of market faith in their current AI strategy.
- [New Visual Ranking Tool] (01:42:00) - A demonstration of the new triple-layered ranking dots on the charts, allowing traders to see shifts from "warning" to "bullish" across three timeframes simultaneously.
- VIDEO CHAPTERS:
- [Inside Days & Market Sentiment] (00:00:00) - Assessing recovery attempts in the S&P and NASDAQ and the significance of "inside day" patterns following recent volatility.
- [The SpaceX & OpenAI Liquidity Crunch] (00:10:30) - How a massive wave of new stock supply from AI and space leaders is changing the market narrative for tech.
- [Intermarket Litmus Test: RSP vs. Tech] (00:22:45) - Using the relationship between the equal-weight S&P and the NASDAQ to determine if the trend is healthy rotation or broad weakness.
- [Crude Oil’s Rejection Pattern] (00:35:50) - A detailed look at the 10-day moving average head fake in oil and why it supports a bearish outlook for energy.
- [Apple’s Post-Conference Breakdown] (00:48:15) - Analyzing the "awful" price action that forced Apple off the leadership list and what it means for AI sentiment.
- [Charting Beta: Visual Ranking Deep Dive] (01:42:00) - A walk-through of the new ranking indicators and how to use the triple-dot system to quickly filter high-probability setups.