Active Investing Edge Mentoring for 06/16/2026

June 16, 2026

Active Investing Edge

By Geoff Bysshe

Video Summary:

Geoff centres this session on the emerging "supply trap" created by the upcoming SpaceX IPO and news that OpenAI and Anthropic have officially filed confidential paperwork, which Geoff believes is forcing fund managers to sell existing winners to raise capital. Geoff analyses the technical reversal in Apple, noting that the market’s rejection of its AI announcements has effectively removed it from his active leadership list for the time being. Geoff also provides an intermarket road map, highlighting that while tech is under pressure, the rotation into the equal-weighted S&P (RSP) and small caps remains constructive as long as crude oil continues its textbook short pattern. Finally, Geoff showcases a new feature in the charting application: a visual ranking indicator that displays short, intermediate, and long-term health directly on the price chart to streamline trade selection.

Session Highlights & Chapters:

  1. SESSION HIGHLIGHTS:
  2. [The IPO Supply Trap] (00:06:30) - Geoff explains how massive liquidity needs for the upcoming SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic IPOs are acting as a bearish weight on the high-flying tech sector as institutions raise cash.
  3. [Crude Oil’s Textbook Short Pattern] (00:12:30) - Geoff identifies a clear rejection pattern in crude oil at the 10-day moving average, suggesting energy prices have topped and could provide a tailwind for the broader market.
  4. [Apple’s Technical Rejection] (00:24:45) - Geoff breaks down the "awful" price action in Apple, explaining why the failed breakout during the developer conference signals a lack of market faith in their current AI strategy.
  5. [New Visual Ranking System] (00:48:15) - Geoff demonstrates the new triple-layered ranking dots on the charts, allowing traders to see shifts from "warning" to "bullish" across three timeframes simultaneously to filter high-probability setups.

  6. VIDEO CHAPTERS:
  7. [Opening Market Analysis & Inside Days] (00:00:00) - Assessing recovery attempts in the S&P and NASDAQ and the significance of "inside day" patterns following recent volatility.
  8. [IPO Liquidity Dynamics: SpaceX and Beyond] (00:06:30) - Analysing the "supply-side" bearishness created by the upcoming cycle of record-breaking tech offerings.
  9. [Intermarket Roadmap: Crude Oil and Bonds] (00:10:00) - Using the relationship between energy prices, bonds, and the RSP to determine if the trend is healthy rotation or broad weakness.
  10. [Apple’s Post-Conference Disaster Case Study] (00:24:45) - A detailed look at the failed breakout and immediate rejection in Apple that removed it from the leadership list.
  11. [Charting Release: The Visual Ranking Tool] (00:48:15) - A walkthrough of the new ranking indicators and how to use the triple-dot system to quickly assess stock health.
  12. [Individual Stock Analysis & Filtering] (01:05:30) - Applying the new ranking tool to current leaders and laggards, from AMD and Amazon to the data-center niche.