TITLE: Market Weakness, Breadth, And Breakout Setups (09-02-2026)
VIDEO SUMMARY: (FIRST POV Geoff)Geoff examined a fragile but potentially stabilizing market backdrop through the S&P 500, Nasdaq, equal-weighted S&P 500, semiconductors, bonds, and crude oil. He emphasized the importance of …
With so much talk about what the Fed Chairman, Kevin Warsh, is saying he won’t say in the way of offering guidance, I decided to organize what he did say. I think it offers quite a bit of guidance into …
TITLE: NVIDIA Earnings Ahead As Bonds Rise And Crude Falls: Intermarket Signals, Risk-Based Setups, And Trend Scanning (08-26-2026)
VIDEO SUMMARY: (FIRST POV Geoff)Geoff analyzed a quiet, corrective market awaiting NVIDIA earnings, comparing rising TLTs, falling crude oil, and stagnant …
Summary Basic Materials (XLB) broke out of a multi-month consolidation, with unusually broad strength in copper and agricultural input stocks creating several attractive trend-trading setups. The strength in economically sensitive Materials supports the narrative of a healthy economy with persistent …
TITLE: Treasury Bond Support, The Ten-Day Moving Average Head Fake, and Semiconductor Confirmation (08-19-2026)
VIDEO SUMMARY: (FIRST POV Geoff)Geoff analyzed a market reacting to the Treasury’s plan to increase funding for long-duration Treasury buybacks, using TLT as the key …
Last week was filled with bullish developments, but on Friday the focus was bearish news in retail sales, so let's start there. Retail sales was expected to be up +.1% but as shown by the chart, it came in with …
TITLE: Inflation In Line, Stocks Consolidating: Bonds, Oil, Market Internals, Sector Breadth, and Breakout Risk (08-12-2026)
VIDEO SUMMARY: (FIRST POV Geoff)Geoff analyzed an in-line inflation report that initially supported a modestly bullish futures reaction without confirming a powerful uptrend. …
Last week was filled with significant information in earnings, investor sentiment, inflation, interest rates, economic growth, geopolitics, and important technical milestones. However, often times, it’s what doesn’t happen that matters more than what does. Weekly Market Outlook — Key Takeaways …
Higher long-term interest rates are becoming a more meaningful headwind, even as the major indexes remain resilient. Market momentum has become increasingly selective, suggesting the rally may be less broad than the indexes imply. This week's earnings from Meta, …
The July Calendar Ranges are revealing an important market rotation. Semiconductors are weakening, while energy, industrials, transportation, and healthcare are emerging as leaders. Strong earnings reports from several important market leaders have been met with selling. So far, rotation …