Archives: ETF Country: Strategy Insights

ETF Country Plus Strategy Insights: Relative Performance (Part 1)

James Kimball | May 6, 2018

The country models were down on the week on average about -1.8%. The benchmark was down -0.3%. The SPY put in a strong finish to the week Friday off of good jobs numbers (3.9% unemployment is the lowest report number since 2000) though it was only recovering lost ground. On Thursday, the SPY hit its 200-day moving average for the first time in almost a month and bounced off of it. Stay tuned for the


ETF Country Plus Strategy Insights: Trading the ETF Models (Part 3)

James Kimball | April 29, 2018

The country models were down on the week on average about -0.4%. The benchmark was down -0.1%. The SPY ended up putting in another sideways week, this time bowl-shaped instead of hump-shaped like last week. 40% of the S&P reported earnings this week. Earnings were on the strong side, but market reaction has been weak with the SPY still trading in the lower half of its 2018 range. Stay tuned for the daily updates and


ETF Country Plus Strategy Insights: Trading the ETF Models (Part 2)

James Kimball | April 22, 2018

The country models were flat on the week. The benchmark was up + 0.3%. The SPY put in a hump-shaped week popping back over the 50-day moving average midweek for the first time in over a month only to settle back down under to close out the week. Apple and other chipmakers weighed the market down on Friday over concerns about weakening demand for smartphones. Stay tuned for the daily updates and log into the


ETF Country Plus Strategy Insights: Trading the ETF Models (Part 1)

James Kimball | April 15, 2018

The country models were up on the week on average about +0.8%. The benchmark was up +2.0%. The SPY recovered from an ugly Monday opening to the week to close out marginally positive. Once again, trade news drove a lot of market headlines with a perceived easing of the rhetoric. Earnings seasons started with stronger than expected reports from the big banks on Friday. Stay tuned for the daily updates and log into the website


ETF Country Plus Strategy Insights: ETF Survey (Part 3)

James Kimball | April 8, 2018

The country models were down on the week on average about -2.9%. The benchmark was down -1.2%. The SPY mostly stayed in the prior week's range, though not without some excitement as the market sank on Monday and closed firmly below its 200 DMA, only to rally into the middle of the week and then fall again on Friday, mostly over concerns about a growing and escalating trade spat between the U.S. and China. The


ETF Country Plus Strategy Insights: ETF Survey (Part 2)

James Kimball | March 25, 2018

The country models were down on the week on average about 2.75%. The benchmark was down -4.8%. The SPY spent most of the week going down with only a brief reprieve on Tuesday and Wednesday. Concerns over the first salves in a potentially escalating trade war between the world’s superpowers seemed to be the cause. The SPY closed on Friday with its second worst closing on the year and the slope of its 50-day moving


ETF Country Plus Strategy Insights: ETF Survey (Part 1)

James Kimball | March 18, 2018

The country models were down on the week on average about -1.65%. The benchmark was down -0.9%. The SPY, after a strong close to last week, settled back down to its 50-day and 10-day moving averages. Strong economic numbers and lower concerns about inflation were potentially offset by continued talks of tariffs and the potential disruption they could bring. Stay tuned for the daily updates and log into the website to see holdings and additional


ETF Country Plus Strategy Insights: Measuring Your Model (Part 4)

James Kimball | March 11, 2018

The country models were up on the week on average about +0.6%. The benchmark was up +2.9%. The SPY recovered this week closing on Friday not far off from its prior week’s high. The jobs report on Friday was the strongest in two years. The flat wage gains for the month probably offset some fears about inflation. Stay tuned for the daily updates and log into the website to see holdings and additional performance data.


ETF Country Plus Strategy Insights: Measuring Your Model (Part 3)

James Kimball | March 4, 2018

The country models were down on the week on average about -1.75%. The benchmark down -2.4%. Year-to-date, both county models are leading the benchmark by a small margin. The market opened the week initially up with the SPY putting in its highest close since Feb 1st. However, after several days of selling pressure, it closed right between its still upwardly sloping 50 and 200 day moving average. Stay tuned for the daily updates and log


ETF Country Plus Strategy Insights: Measuring Your Model (Part 2)

James Kimball | February 25, 2018

The country models were up on the week on average about +0.55%. The benchmark was up +0.2%. After recovering about half of the drop, markets put in a relatively quiet U-shaped week, closing Friday on its highest levels since February 5th. Stay tuned for the daily updates and log into the website to see holdings and additional performance data. This Week’s Strategy Lesson: Measuring Your Model (Part 2)   Last week we covered the importance