Santa Claus Has a Favorite Index.
And Santa’s Rally Has A Favorite Start Date!

Geoff Bysshe | December 7, 2025

Next week could set the tone for the much anticipated Santa Claus rally, but be patient. The Fed’s interest rate decision and press conference on Wednesday are expected to deliver a 25 bps cut (as shown in the chart below), then the market will immediately focus on the odds of future cuts based on Chair Powell’s comments. You don’t need to be an economist to see how closely the trend of the S&P has followed

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