Market Analysis for Trading on 10/18/2013

Mish Schneider | October 17, 2013

New Position: Long XRT 82.78

Name of Instrument: SPDR S&P Retail

Current Price: 83.09

Stop Loss: 80.44

First Target: 86.49 for 1/2

Reason For Trade: Anticipating a move over 2013 highs as we end last quarter of 2013. Like the tight risk to under the 50 DMA.

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Existing Position: Long EEM 42.85

Current Price: 43.25

**Stop loss: 41.19 Raised

First Target: 45.49 for 1/2

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Existing Position: Long: FXI 37.31

Current Price: 38.11

**Stop Loss: 36.74 (Raised)

First Target: 38.97 take off 1/3 to 1/2

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Existing Position: Long EWG 28.02

Current Price: 28.78

Stop Loss: 27.37

First target: 29.14 take off ½


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Existing Position: X Long 20.68 ¼-1/3 Position Remaining

Current Price: 23.84

Profitable Trailing Stop For Balance: 21.59

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Haiku by Mish

One stock said to an

other while making new highs:

this market is whacked!

S&P 500 (SPY) 173.60 is the 2013 high which we got really close to by end of day. Now, perhaps a bit of exuberance-expect a digestion day but won’t rule out a melt up either. Subscribers:Positive pivots

Russell 2000 (IWM) New highs and not on blow out type volume so should be good to go

Dow (DIA) Closed slightly red but away from the 50 DMA. Unless, that level breaks, still looks ok.

Nasdaq (QQQ) Back in 2000, the last gasp high before a correction was 84.94-not ruling that out either

XLF (Financials) 20.93 is the 2013 highs to clear

SMH (Semiconductors) New highs and a bullish engulfing pattern. See semis run-run semis run!

XRT (Retail) 83.24 is the 2013 high to clear to keep this going

IYT (Transportation) 121.00 is the 2013 high  

IBB (Biotechnology) Confirmed bullish phase. If clears 208.50 like better. Subscribers: Still a couple of names here to look at for shorts

IYR (Real Estate) 67.77 is the 200 DMA

XHB (Homebuilders) Cleared those gorgeous converging moving averages. Subscribers: If 29.68 holds we will look here for a long above the moving averages

GLD Back to eyeballing the 50 DMA as resistance

OIH (Oil Services) New 2013 highs

XLE (Energy) Inside day

XOP (Oil and Gas Exploration) I have no position in the ETF, but this still excites the heck out of me to watch

TBT (Ultrashort Lehman 20+ Year Treasuries) TLT continued its accelerated run over the 50 DMA

EWG (Germany) New highs

FXI (China) Subscribers: Adding over today’s highs and R1 makes sense. China will release third-quarter GDP overnight. Its result will be very important for tomorrow's trading. Economists estimate that GDP will rise to 7.8% from a year ago, up from a 7.5% rate in the second quarter. Chinese retail sales and industrial production will also be released.

Bye for Now!

 

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