Trade Alert - MMM Analysis for Tuesday

Mish Schneider | February 12, 2013

* * * * * * * * Trade Alert * * * * * * * *

Trade: Buy OIH on a $43.45 buy stop limit $43.60.

Instrument Name: Mkt Vectors Oil Services ETF

Position: Long

Stop: $43.07

Target:  $44.30 take some profits.

Trade Description: Inside day so buying over the 10 DMA ($43.44)

* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *

The key market indexes had a meager early morning sell-off in very quiet / light trading. Critical support is still holding and the overbought conditions are abating with more sideways action.

Tonight's report will be from both Geoff Bysshe and Keith Schneider as Mish recovers from a nasty Flu. She will return as soon as she recovers. Trade well!

S&P 500 (SPY) This index had a doji day and missed an inside day by a tick. Market internals for this index is still strong. Subs: Positive Pivots. However, S1 and today's low are lining up so caution under 151.40, otherwise we are still in gear.

Russell 2000 (IWM) inside day and strong with a close back above the fast moving average. Today's quiet compression is a good setup for following breakouts. Subs: Pivots Negative. 89.95 is important support where the 10 day MA and S2 converge.

Dow (DIA) Inside day and still trying to close over 14,000. Negative pivots. Short term bias turns negative below 139 which takes out S2 and the 10 day. Otherwise, we are still in gear and might just be compressing for the big jump over 14000 and all-time highs.

NASDAQ 100 (QQQ) an inside day, small gains with positive pivots was most interesting. Subs: Pivots Positive and lots of compression that we are poised to move away from. AAPL coming back to life has helped with this Index and if it ignites it has wide- spread positive implications for all equities.

GLD Gold was the standout loser even as unrest in the Mideast spreads. Bad action for what should have been supportive to Gold is indicative of a bearish trend.  Who needs the yellow relic when stocks are roaring? Subs: In this type of environment (good news, bad action) try sell strength (OR Reversals) unless we close back over the 50 Day MA, which changes our bias to long

XLF (Financials) This is one of the leading sectors and did not disappoint today as had the best performance of. Assuming the market continues its march up this sector should lead the way.

IBB (Biotechnology) This once leading sector continues to lag and could be putting in a top.

SMH (Semiconductors): 34.00 still a great area to hold. Subs: Pivots Positive and in gear for more gains. Good relative performance today.

XRT (Retail) Lots of compression at the highs but as with rest of the market still positive ...pivots are a slightly negative

IYT (Transportation) Closed pretty much on its highs for the year and this sector was and is still one of our favorite picks Subs: This has more to go this year

IYR (Real Estate) after good news regarding housing prices and supply side issues, this sector is firming up after lagging the market this week. We would be more interested above 68.30 which are new highs.

USO (US Oil Fund) Subs: Best performing sector ETF today and has positive pivots with its close over the 10 day MA. However this is a laggerd for 2013 so far.

OIH (Oil Services) The oil services struggled today and closed under the 10 Day MA.  A move over 45 on high volume would confirm a long term bottom

XLE (Energy) Subs: Inside day with a leading sector ETF this year... follow a breakout to new highs

TBT (Ultrashort Lehman 20+ Year Treasuries) The long term trend has shifted and this a buy dips market for a long time Subs: Lots of compression over the past 10 days affords a good entry above the R1 and today's high which is around the 67.60 level. Other- wise wait for more weakness for a lower entry.

XOP (Oil and Gas Exploration) Subs: Watch the 10 DMA now to hold and potential Brick Wall reversal pattern today.

XHB (Homebuilders) Looks toppy and need to clear fast moving average to regain footing

UUP (Dollar Bull) This ETF could be completing a compound bottom

About the author

+ posts