Position Summary & Market Analysis for Trading on 12/19/2013

Mish Schneider | December 18, 2013

Existing Position: Long TEX: 35.00 1/4 position

Current Price: 40.14

Name of Instrument: Terex Corp

***RAISED AGAIN Trailing Stop: 37.19

REACHED! First Target: 37.09 Sold ½

REACHED Second Target: 38.04 for ½ filled 38.20

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Existing Position:  Long IGT 17.96

Name of Instrument: International Game Technology

Current Price: 17.37

Sell Stop: 16.24

First Target: 19.24 for ½ off

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Existing Position: Long FITB 19.10

Name of Instrument: Fifth Third Bancorp

Current Price: 20.45

**Raised: Sell Stop: 19.10

First Target: 20.97

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Taper: To make smaller gradually. Love ‘em or hate ‘em, the FED followed the Webster to the letter on this one. The main concerns were not “if” the Fed would pull back; rather how much and how fast.

Now we know-10 billion to start, trimming most likely each month into 2014-gradual rise in rates, dependent on consistent positive numbers from the economic data.

The Dow closes on new highs, the Financials darn close along with Semiconductors (can never lose hope there). Real Estate held in the clutch along with Homebuilders and Retail. Keep eyes on those small caps-they got some catching up to do if this was more than a one day wonder.

The US dollar (UUP) through 21.65, will take a toll on some interest rate sensitive groups, but the big takeaway today is leave the media dealt fear at the door and find yourself someone trustworthy to follow in 2014. I can suggest someone if you are stuck.

Stock market is where it’s at!

S&P 500 (SPY) Huge Accumulation day and brushing against the 2013 highs. Now that’s what Santa Claus looks like Subscribers: Positive Pivots in all

Russell 2000 (IWM) The sobering index as it is far from 2013 highs so watch here carefully

Dow (DIA) New highs-good for the headlines!

Nasdaq (QQQ) 86.53 has to clear here

XLF (Financials) 21.64 the 2013 high-the 2 accumulation days in volume noted over the weekend and after Monday’s session in hindsight, an interesting tell

SMH (Semiconductors) 42.00 the highs right there

XRT (Retail) Talk about your clutch hold and run from the 50 DMA!

IYT (Transportation) Not as pretty here but held the 50 DMA which tells us that fading a bullish phase can hurt-a lot!

IBB (Biotechnology) Over 220 would help here

IYR (Real Estate) Started to look like a bottom on Tuesday-better now, but still, 64.00 would be good to clear

XHB (Homebuilders) Nice move off the base.

GLD Broke 118-not pretty for the metal. Need another day to seal its fate one way or another

USO (US Oil Fund) 34.50 important support with 35.25 resistance to clear

OIH (Oil Services) Came back, yes, but still in warning

XLE (Energy) Now that’s impressive-blasted back over the 50 DMA-eyes here

XOP (Oil and Gas Exploration) Came back, but still in warning

EWW (Mexico) 67.45 is pivotal-like it above

TBT (Ultrashort Lehman 20+ Year Treasuries) Considering what the market did, fair to say that the rates will rise gently based on today’s action here

UUP (Dollar Bull) 21.65 and over-stronger dollar seems in the works

IFN (India Fund) Convincing move back over the 200 DMA

EWG (Germany) No more island top. 30.69 the 2013 high

Bye for Now!

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