Active Investing Edge Mentoring for 06/12/2026

June 12, 2026

Active Investing Edge

By Geoff Bysshe

Video Summary:

Geoff starts the session by analyzing the technical landscape on SpaceX IPO morning, noting that the market appears ready to head higher regardless of unresolved geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Geoff explains that while the IPO might initially suck liquidity from other tech winners as managers raise cash, it serves as a long-term sentiment igniter for the entire space sector. Geoff highlights the explosive rally in the bond market (TLT), exploring its positive correlation with small caps and the Russell 2000. Finally, Geoff reviews "Fat Pitch" setups in the financial sector, identifying Robinhood (HOOD) as a top breakout candidate and Intel (INTC) as a rare tech leader that is bucking the broader semiconductor consolidation.

Session Highlights & Chapters:

  1. SESSION HIGHLIGHTS:
  2. [The SpaceX Ecosystem Proxies] (00:16:15) - Geoff explains how to monitor stocks like SATS (EchoStar) and Google as secondary proxies to gauge market sentiment and liquidity flows during the SpaceX IPO.
  3. [TLT and Small-Cap Synergy] (00:36:15) - Analyze the significant rally in bonds and why this downward pressure on long-term rates provides the necessary tailwind for IWM to break out of its current rectangle.
  4. [Intel’s Relative Strength Anomaly] (01:03:00) - Geoff identifies Intel as a high-conviction leader because it moved higher on Friday while the rest of the tech sector sold off, marking it as a primary target for new entries.
  5. [Robinhood’s Multi-Year Turn] (01:41:30) - Evaluate the clean breakout in Hood as it clears major resistance levels and its 200-day moving average, signaling a shift in institutional demand.
  6. VIDEO CHAPTERS:
  7. [Opening Analysis: The SpaceX Factor] (00:00:00) - Assessing the "Good SpaceX Morning" sentiment and the psychological impact of the largest IPO in history.
  8. [Intermarket Roadmap: Oil and Yields] (00:08:30) - Why the market is shrugging off "no deal" headlines with Iran as oil begins a textbook rollover pattern.
  9. [Space Sector Ripple Effects] (00:16:15) - Using an "ownership list" of stocks like SATS and Google to track the second-derivative moves of the SpaceX launch.
  10. [Bond Market Deep Dive: TLT vs. IWM] (00:36:15) - Tracking the correlation between long-term bonds and small-cap performance to confirm market breadth.
  11. [Fat Pitch Friday: Solar, Drugs, and Financials] (00:54:30) - A technical review of TAN's bounce off the 50-day moving average and the strength in healthcare names like LLY.
  12. [The Tech Hierarchy: INTC, NVDA, and Dell] (01:28:45) - Differentiating between the "underowned" potential of Intel and the 50-day moving average support tests for Nvidia and Dell.