David and Goliath or the Small Versus Large Caps

Mish Schneider | July 16, 2023

In the Bible story, David and Goliath represent resilience and overcoming odds.

David, a small sheepherder, places a stone in a sling to hurl at Goliath’s head. David gets a clean hit and Goliath falls. David then uses Goliath’s sword …


Is Inflation Permanently “Dissed”

Mish Schneider | July 13, 2023

I wish I could say that the clearly impressive trend from peak until now in CPI and PPI is sustainable.

However, I am more inclined to say “trough” with more chance of rising inflation numbers going forward rather than the …


CPI, Bonds, Inflation, Indices and Gold

Mish Schneider | July 12, 2023

For today’s daily, have a listen to Mish on Real Vision with Ash Bennington as they cover:

CPI Inflation and market reaction.

What's going on in the Russel and Nasdaq.

How the Fed will respond

Bonds

Metals

Inflation

Find the …


Cocoa Soars: Nobody Knows the Truffles I’ve Seen

Mish Schneider | July 11, 2023

On the heels of the CPI report out first thing July 12th, and because of El Nino, West Africa expects to see lower average rainfall and higher.

West Africa is the main coca grower.

The growing season began last October …


Bank Earnings-JP Morgan versus Goldman Sachs

Mish Schneider | July 10, 2023

JP Morgan kicks off earnings season this Friday July 14th.

Goldman Sachs does not report until next week July 19th.

That is an auspicious day for us, as the July 6-month calendar range will be established.

We will be able …


Economic Modern Family-Granny Retail Takes a Bow

Mish Schneider | July 9, 2023

Sometimes it is just that simple.

The Economic Economic Modern Family has had its share of rotation.

By rotation this year, we mean that while Semiconductors wowed, Regional Banks soured.

By rotation this year, we have looked to certain members …


Earnings, Inflation, Yield Curve & July Reset-Video

Mish Schneider | July 6, 2023

Mish appeared on Yahoo Finance this morning with Brad Smith and Diane King Hall as a contributor/guest host.

Topics covered:

Jobs Report
Yield Curve and the Fed
Tech and AI
Earnings Season
Inflation and impact on consumer
Technical indicators to …


Sell in July and Go Away? Calendar Range Reset

Mish Schneider | July 5, 2023

One of the most interesting things about July in the market is the biannual reset of the 6-month calendar range.

Here is a chart of the NASDAQ 100 with the January 6-month calendar range drawn in.

To clarify, it is …


A Glimpse at the Next 6 Months in the Markets

Mish Schneider | July 2, 2023

With last week's strong economic stats and inflation basically flatlined, many believe there will be a soft landing and no recession.

However, there are stats that say with the yield curve so inverted (most since 1983), recession can and probably …


U.S. Oil Reserves Drop to 40 Year Lows

Mish Schneider | June 28, 2023

On June 12th, Goldman Sachs came out stating how bearish they are on oil.

I wrote a Daily about it on June 20th:

Bearish at the Bottom-Institutions Wrong on Oil

Not uncommon for me to stick my neck out and …