A Closer Look at Long Bonds and The US Dollar

Mish Schneider | October 10, 2023

The next direction of the long bonds is crucial in determining the macro.

First, after a wrecking ball crash and ahead of the FOMC, we could surmise that a bottoming like action defines the last several trading days.

Our Real …


What We Will Use to Ascertain Market’s Next Moves

Mish Schneider | October 9, 2023

For consistency, here are the key go to’s during an uncertain time in the market:

  • The next direction of long bonds (TLT)
  • The next direction of the small caps and retail sectors (IWM XRT)
  • The next direction of commodities, all

  • Small Caps and Retail Hold the Line in the Sand

    Mish Schneider | October 8, 2023

    I spent all of last week in the media and in print, going over the importance of 2 key indicators. (See the media clips below)

  • Our risk gauges on Big View, all of which kept flashing risk on regardless of

  • Stock Market Daily Briefing Video

    Mish Schneider | October 4, 2023

    Yesterday, we covered the 80-month moving average in small caps and retail.

    Today, I did several interviews-some already out (BNN Bloomberg), others will be out soon (Financial Sense Jim Pupluva) and the one that you can find on Youtube later …


    Time to Talk 6-7 Year Market Business Cycles

    Mish Schneider | October 3, 2023

    We began the year examining the 23-month moving averages in all the indices and major market sectors.

    It was pretty simple really.

    Buy anything that cleared the blue line (2-year business cycle), which we explained was a good reflection of …


    3 Key Relationships to Help Assess Market Direction

    Mish Schneider | October 2, 2023

    If you are finding yourself fluctuating between bullishness and bearishness, then congratulations!

    Hopefully, that also means you are waiting for certain signals to help you commit to one way or another.

    Here are the signals we are waiting for before …


    Risk Neutral Market Gauges Ahead of Sunday Deadline

    Mish Schneider | October 1, 2023

    We do not want to walk down the political aisle.

    Nonetheless, what person can turn their heads away from the Sunday deadline on funding the government.

    The aftermath of a shutdown will most likely include a credit downgrade for the …


    Boyz to Men-Step Back to Small Caps & Growth Stocks

    Mish Schneider | September 27, 2023

    We started this year looking at the monthly charts and the 2 moving averages that depict business cycles.

    Back in February we wrote:

    “All in all, the key sectors (retail, transportation) have more to prove especially by clearing the 23 …


    Market Begs: Tell Us Something Good!

    Mish Schneider | September 26, 2023

    We compiled a list of the 10 biggest uncertainties in the stock market right now.

    In no particular order:

  • China-trade wars and chip wars
  • Oil and food inflation
  • Strikes
  • Government shutdown
  • Corporate and individual bankruptcies on the rise
  • Commercial real

  • Volatility Taunting Fresh Equity Buyers

    Mish Schneider | September 24, 2023

    This week I appeared with David Keller on Stockcharts Final Bar.

    We discussed how the market is at a precipice.

    And no doubt, the words I wrote on April 20th Daily “Now That “Stagflation” Has Gone Mainstream” some 5 months …