The GDP PCE ADP Waltz

Mish Schneider | August 29, 2023

Conference Board Economic Forecast:

Looking into 2024, we expect the volatility that dominated the US economy over the pandemic period to diminish. In the second half of 2024, we forecast that overall growth will return to more stable pre-pandemic rates, …


Bonds, Secular Bear Market: Impact on Small Caps

Mish Schneider | August 28, 2023

Bonds have had one of the worst years in modern times and one of the fastest rates of interest rate rises.

The good news is the market has absorbed the bond’s performance.

A better risk-on environment is when the SPY …


Can Small Caps Lead the Market Higher? Video Analysis

Mish Schneider | August 26, 2023

Small caps as measured by IWM are key for the fall and into 2024.

You can also look at SML S&P 600.

IWM could be forming an inverted head and shoulders bottom going back from the start of 2023. (see …


MarketGauge’s Market Beat Rarely Misses a Beat!

Mish Schneider | August 23, 2023

Over the course of our writing the Daily, it has served as a reliable and remarkable guide for investors, traders, and investments.

For example, looking most recently, on August 22nd, we wrote about watching the dollar decline and TLTs rising. …


The US Dollar and Long Bonds Doing the Dosey Doe

Mish Schneider | August 22, 2023

With BRICS happening ahead of Jackson Hole, we thought it would be good to look at the technical charts on both the dollar and the long bonds.

The chart below shows that BRICS versus G7 as a share of purchasing …


Biotechnology on Drugs

Mish Schneider | August 21, 2023

Biotechnology has traded basically sideways since the start of 2023.

In the face of higher rates, stronger dollar, inflation, FDA approvals and busts, and an emerging winter season, the ETF IBB has a serenity to it that appears drug-induced if …


How High Will U.S. Yields Fly?

Mish Schneider | August 20, 2023

Thursday, August 17th I sat down with Maggie Lake and Real Vision.

During the 36-minute interview, the overriding theme continues to be one of “Stagflation”.

Here are the main points:

  • Rates-We don’t really know yet the impact of the rapid

  • Alibaba and China-Can They Push Through Resistance?

    Mish Schneider | August 13, 2023

    August 10, I appeared on CNBC Asia to discuss Alibaba’s surprise beat on earnings and China’s weak economic data.

    I began the segment reminding investors (and myself) that regardless of the news, opinions of analysts and the talking heads, price …


    What’s Up or Down with Long Bonds TLT?

    Mish Schneider | August 9, 2023

    Many, in fact most retail investors that were surveyed, believe that the bonds have bottomed.

    Bill Ackman came out last week extremely bearish.

    Here’s the technical skinny.

    Last week, TLT had a classic reversal bottom on very oversold conditions.

    Although …


    July 6-Month Calendar Range Hits August Doldrums 2

    Mish Schneider | August 8, 2023

    Continuing to look at the reset of the July 6-month calendar ranges in 4 of the Economic Economic Modern Family Sectors.

    To remind you, the range is good until the next time it resets in January 2024.

    Beginning with Transportation …