While over the last several months, as the market has been coming to grips with likelihood of a higher Fed Funds rate and the reality of higher long-term rates, the ETF for the Mag 7 has been improving its technical …
With so much talk about what the Fed Chairman, Kevin Warsh, is saying he won’t say in the way of offering guidance, I decided to organize what he did say. I think it offers quite a bit of guidance into …
Summary Basic Materials (XLB) broke out of a multi-month consolidation, with unusually broad strength in copper and agricultural input stocks creating several attractive trend-trading setups. The strength in economically sensitive Materials supports the narrative of a healthy economy with persistent …
Last week was filled with bullish developments, but on Friday the focus was bearish news in retail sales, so let's start there. Retail sales was expected to be up +.1% but as shown by the chart, it came in with …
Last week was filled with significant information in earnings, investor sentiment, inflation, interest rates, economic growth, geopolitics, and important technical milestones. However, often times, it’s what doesn’t happen that matters more than what does. Weekly Market Outlook — Key Takeaways …
Higher long-term interest rates are becoming a more meaningful headwind, even as the major indexes remain resilient. Market momentum has become increasingly selective, suggesting the rally may be less broad than the indexes imply. This week's earnings from Meta, …
The July Calendar Ranges are revealing an important market rotation. Semiconductors are weakening, while energy, industrials, transportation, and healthcare are emerging as leaders. Strong earnings reports from several important market leaders have been met with selling. So far, rotation …
Summary: The 3-2-1 crack spread has reached an extreme, with important implications for inflation, Fed policy, gasoline prices, and refining stocks that recently broke out to all-time highs. IBM’s historic 25% collapse demonstrates how rising memory costs and concentrated AI …
Summary Despite higher inflation, weaker GDP forecasts, and rising interest rate expectations, the market continues to climb on confidence in corporate earnings. This earnings season may determine whether investors continue rewarding strong results—or begin viewing them as "peak earnings." …
The bearish fears surrounding the SPY as it tests its 50-day moving average are well grounded if you look beneath the surface of the major indexes. For example, the MAG 7 darlings of the recent past are now being referred …