Patterns That Follow 3% Up (or Down) Weeks

February 22, 2016

Trades & Tutorials

By Geoff Bysshe


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After big up weeks, what's next?

Here's a weekly chart with historgram view of the 1 week percent change in the SPY. The dashed lines are at +/- 3%.

Viewed this way, you may see some interesting patterns and facts. For example, if I use 3% as a rough level...

...A 3% week is not all that common.

...3% down weeks are frequently followed by a 3% up week within a few weeks

...3% up weeks that occur near the lows of more signicant declines often continue higher

Here's the data back to 2007. What do you see?

2013-Feb. 19, 2016
LBV-20160222-1

2010-2013

LBV-20160222-2

2007-2010

LBV-20160222-3