The Economic Modern Family: What’s Changed?

September 17, 2019

Mish's Daily

By Mish Schneider

With the entire Family holding recent gains and potentially consolidating, we wait for one sector to show us the way.

I am continuing with the plan to keep Tuesday and Thursday’s Daily brief.

With more thorough commentary on Monday, Wednesday and Friday, Tuesday and Thursday I will stick to a quick synopsis of what I consider to be the main highlight(s).

Then, go directly to the ETF levels.

Today’s main highlight is Granny Retail XRT.

2 weeks ago we talked about the weekly chart and how if XRT got to 44.00 and could not clear, it could spell the top for equities.

Thus far, XRT is proving us right. However, the week is only at a midpoint.

Keep your eyes on XRT between 42-44. The way that range break is a good indicator for what’s coming next.

Commodities excluded from that analysis.

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S&P 500 (SPY) Some support at 298, but under that can see 295 quickly. And only a move above the new ATH negates the topping pattern.

Russell 2000 (IWM) 154.50 now the closest pivotal support. 160 resistance

Dow (DIA) ATH 273.99 made in July. 270 support

Nasdaq (QQQ) 191 support to hold or we see 189.50 fast. 195.55 ATH

KRE (Regional Banks) 53-55 the range now to watch

SMH (Semiconductors) 120 support and ATH 123.56

IYT (Transportation) 190.00 pivotal support and 200 overhead resistance

IBB (Biotechnology) 105 or the 50-DMA cleared for a confirmed recuperation phase.

XRT (Retail) 44.00-we will see if this spells the top of the move or not. So far, yes