Market Analysis for Trading on 3/20/2015

Mish Schneider | March 19, 2015

Ode To The Federal Reserve (To the tune of You Oughta Know)

And I’m here to remind you

Of the mess you’d leave if you went away

It’s not fair to deny me

Of the cash I’ve made that you gave to me

You, EWE, you oughta know!

S&P 500 (SPY) Digestion came right on cue in the sheep pasture and according to our trading plan-inside day Subscribers: Positive Pivots in all

Russell 2000 (IWM) An inside day near the new highs-please try to keep the sheep analogy (expands out of the boundaries and rallies, then retreats with selling, may retreat further with sheep scattering, some get sheared, some die, but in the end, the herd comes back to graze) along with the modern family (strongest index and groups) in your minds

Dow (DIA) Inside day

Nasdaq (QQQ) Inside day with 108 a very nearby support level but not the end all be all one to hold. Over 109-could see new highs soon

XLF (Financials) we need to see this clear 24.90 to really be in gear!

KRE (Regional Banks) One of our family even it it’s getting testier. I don’t mind the correction here. No real damage done

SMH (Semiconductors) Inside day over 56.45

IYT (Transportation) 165.17 the high to clear and 162 area to hold

IBB (Biotechnology) March Madness!

XRT (Retail) New highs keeping the herd happy

IYR (Real Estate) Confirmed return to a bullish phase.

ITB (US Home Construction) To stay in the running, has to clear 27.83

GLD (Gold Trust) Could be bottoming-had an inside day here too

USO (US Oil Fund) Inside day-over 16.57 could bring back some buyers

OIH (Oil Services) Triple bottoms, a big run then an inside day

XLE (Energy) Stuck under the 50 DMA and over the 10 DMA with an inside day

XOP (Oil and Gas Exploration) Unconfirmed phase change to recovery is now back to unconfirmed phase change back to bearish

TAN (Guggenheim Solar Energy) Inside day

TBT (Ultrashort Lehman 20+ Year Treasuries) Confirmed phase change in TLTs back to Bullish with an inside day

UUP (Dollar Bull) Greenback is that-green and back

EEM (Emerging Markets) Cleared the 50 and 100 DMAs Wednesday along with the rest of the herd-then on Thursday, followed the herd right back under both Moving Averages

EWW (Mexico) Subscribers: Now, until it takes out the base its been trying to forming since December, will wait

EWG (Germany) Looks good over 30.00

EWY (South Korea) Inside day after the move and really like now over 57.57

RSX (Russia) 16.75 could not hold-stay away from this one for now

BAL (Cotton) Subscribers: Think this is bottoming so looking for an entry somewhere around 41.70-41.90