Euphoria or Thrill

Keith Schneider | October 24, 2021

Markets continue to behave as they have during other market cycles.

Two key equity benchmarks (SPY and DIA) made all-time highs.

The important question to answer is, what stage are we in… is it euphoric?

Classic market valuation metrics (Buffet …


Sitting on the Dock of the Bay

Keith Schneider | October 17, 2021

I am sure by now you and your family are feeling the effects of rising inflation.  It has manifested itself in just about every aspect of American life…rising food costs, building supplies, housing costs, energy and most of all, good …


Up, Up & Away…. But for How Long?

Keith Schneider | October 10, 2021

After a brief market pause, we got a pullback from short term oversold levels and saw stocks resume their upward trend, partially fueled by a much narrower, large-cap stock rally.

This leaves the major indexes stuck between their 50 and …


Soft Commodities Firming and Potentially Explosive

Keith Schneider | October 3, 2021

Equity markets closed negative for the month of September led by the NASDAQ 100 (-5.5%) as US markets finally broke a multi-month winning streak.

Meanwhile the US dollar continued to outperform it peers. In fact, it appears that investors prefer …


Evergrande Gap: Warning or Missed Opportunity?

Keith Schneider | September 26, 2021

Last week began with fears on an Evergrande (China’s leading property developer) debt default fueling a technically damaging gap down. The Monday morning gap put the SPY and QQQ well below their 50-day moving averages (DMA), the IWM well under …


Stranger Things

Keith Schneider | September 19, 2021

Stocks were mostly weaker, led by the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 which were both down about -0.8 % on the week.

Several things are looming over the market… like the debt ceiling needing to be raised, which is …


Never Forget

Keith Schneider | September 12, 2021

The market sold off this week as a result of the convergence of weak seasonals, poor momentum, eroding market internals, a very confusing message from the economic data, and a lack of clarity about what the Fed will do next.…


Growth Stocks (and Tech) keep hitting the high notes

Keith Schneider | September 6, 2021

Given the positive move of our risk gauges into risk on all the major Indices and given the recent leg up in some of the largest capitalization growth stocks, is this a new bullish phase up or an eventual repeat …


Hindenburg Indicator Gaining Altitude Again

Keith Schneider | August 29, 2021

This week markets regained its footing with risk gauges improving while the Hindenburg Indicator increased its reading to ominous levels as well. Market internals improved across key equity benchmarks to best levels since mid-June, benefitting small caps (IWM/Grandpa Russel) the …


The Chop Continues

Keith Schneider | August 22, 2021

Markets continue to chop during this seasonally weak period and have made no progress over the past 30 days.

Price patterns of the key US Equity indexes are holding up at key moving averages, but there are signs of stress …