1st Quarter-QE Boosts Commodities and Stocks

Mish Schneider | April 2, 2023

Partial Look at the Models and Positions

Friday I was part of the Festival of Learning sponsored by Real Vision to help new and experienced traders.

The topics that came up were in line with what everyone who trades wants …


The 23-Month Moving Average “Tell” for 1st Quarter

Mish Schneider | March 29, 2023

We have written lots of Daily’s, not to mention, talked a lot about on media, the significance of the 23-month moving average.

Here are some past comments:

What has happened in the last 2 years? A bullish run in 2021 …


Why Buy DBA: Agricultural Fund ETF?

Mish Schneider | March 28, 2023

Last week I tweeted:

I believe the #commodities prices in food softs $DBA have bottomed. $GLD-well those who know me-that I pointed out bottomed months ago. $SLV now outperforming. That tells you something. Maybe even #oil. Get ready for the …


Keeping Up with 3 Key Ratios in a Trading Range

Mish Schneider | March 27, 2023

Friday:

Monday:

Over the weekend, our Daily covered 3 key ratios to help decipher the market action and the prevailing macro theme for the economy.

We started with the one between long bonds (TLT) and the S&P 500 (SPY).

All …


Art and Science: 3 Key Ratios in the Markets

Mish Schneider | March 26, 2023

One of the best questions I got asked this week was how I can be long gold and long semiconductors at the same time?

Simple answer.

We love to take a position based on the macro which is why gold …


2 Big Signs of Stagflation

Mish Schneider | March 22, 2023

The Fed raised rates 25 bps The decision was unanimous.

The terminal rate projection is unchanged at 5.1%

FOMC statement modifies guidance: “The committee anticipates that some additional policy firming may be appropriate.”

My first tweet @marketminute this morning before …


Market-What About the China/Russian Brah-Fest?

Mish Schneider | March 21, 2023

The market buzz can be quite contagious.

“Market didn’t collapse on the bank news-must be bullish.”

“Yellen will save the day buy making sure depositors are safe.”

Yellen herself- “We have an economy that is performing very well.”

And of …


Where is the Market Finding Joy?

Mish Schneider | March 20, 2023

Is it here in the Russell 2000 (IWM)?

Check out the weekly chart.

The 50-week moving average just crossed below the 200-week moving average.

That is bearish.

The Leadership Indicators shows IWM well underperforming the SPY

Bearish

The Real Motion …


CHAOS-Insert Headline Here-BUY #GOLD

Mish Schneider | March 19, 2023

When we wrote How to Grow Your Wealth in 2023 we began with

Chaos

Trying to fit a square peg into a round hole.

Looking for Inflation in All the Wrong Places

Could we have known at the time what …


Small Caps and Semi’s-Their 2 and 7-Year Business Cycles

Mish Schneider | March 15, 2023

From our How to Grow Your Wealth in 2023 we featured the projections for the Economic Modern Family.

We begin with the Granddad of the Family-Russell 2000 (IWM), In December 2022, we wrote this:

“The Russell 2000 IWM is the …