I am back from my vacation and decided to write the first Mish’s Daily on a car company those of you who know my work, will not be surprised to read about.
I have been trading Rivian for 2 years …
Looking out to the end of 2025…
Would you rather own Home Builders (XHB) or Semiconductors (SMH)?
It may seem like a strange question to ask and an easy one to answer, but don’t answer too quickly.
The best market …
This week, the economic data gave both the bulls and the bears something to justify their position.
Unfortunately, for the bears, the fear of inflation and a weakening job market isn’t slowing the bulls down.
In fact, previously cautious areas …
December is the holiday season and August is the summer.
Few, if anyone (in the Northern Hemisphere), would debate that.
The seasonal similarities and differences between these months don’t stop there.
If you’ve been a student of the market for …
August is a tough month to trade.
There has been seasonal weakness over the past 35 years.
Liquidity is diminished and the volume is thin.
Volatility can rise.
Tax loss selling and rebalancing often occurs among institutions ahead of the …
The rally to start the week is quite promising that once again, Friday’s selloff was an overreaction to headlines.
Yet, for the sake of consistency, the July 6-month calendar range high remains elusive to the strongest sector Semiconductors SMH.
However, …
It’s time to listen carefully to what the market is saying, get tactical, and prepare for better opportunities ahead.
Last week delivered a flood of market-moving events—earnings, economic data, fiscal policy moves, and political drama, but many were clouded or …
On July 13th I wrote a Daily on This Week the July 6-month Calendar Range Resets.
To refresh
The July Pattern
The Six-Month Calendar Ranges
As GLP1 weight-loss drug adoption grows 12–15% of U.S. adults are currently or planning to use them—food, wellness and fashion brands are pivoting to address new consumer priorities.
Today, we are going to focus on fashion brands.
Retailers looking to …
Both SPY and QQQ continue to drive this market higher.
Note how far above the price is from their respective July 6-month calendar range highs (horizontal green line).
Also note the momentum as indicated by Real Motion.
SPY has a …
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