A Coiled Spring Market: Investment Themes for 2026

December 21, 2025

Mish's Daily

By Mish Schneider


Let’s start this Daily with some crowing. But in a good way. 

In December 2024, I gave the Money Show 2 picks for 2025. 

Here is Rivian, whose price hit over $22 a share Friday! 

I am so happy for anyone who bought it and held it and quite pleased with my commitment to this stock. 

For this weekend Daily, and the last Daily until we release my Outlook 2026 to you (soon come), I am highlighting the major points from my second segment of Financial Compass, with host Todd M. Schoenberger. 

We talk about: 

  1. Why I’m skeptical of headline CPI numbers 
  2. The next dollar direction 
  3. How I rely on price, rotation and intermarket relationships 
  4. The Year of the Yang Fire Horse 2026 versus 1966 
  5. The “Economic Modern Family,” strength in regional banks 
  6. How Bitcoin could be a “coiled spring,”  
  7. Oil’s potential move toward $60, and opportunities in copper, silver, uranium, and nuclear energy 

A Coiled Spring Market: Mish Schneider on Stocks, Crypto & Commodities

With parallels between 1966 (Fire Horse year) and 2026 these similarities suggest volatility, upheaval, innovation, and bold shifts coming. 

Note: Take astrology influences casually—not trading daily by it, but using themes to guide areas of focus vs. avoidance 


For example:
 

China–Taiwan tensions, unresolved global conflict zones, and geopolitical instability. In 1966 we saw the Chinese Cultural Revolution. 

Biotech breakthroughs shifting from symptom treatment to true cures, fueled by AI and immunology. In 1966, the first artificial heart transplant occurred. 

Banking & finance moving toward digitalization, tokenization, and deregulation—echoing the transformational ATM moment in 1966 

Cultural & media shifts similar to 1966; Disney licensing legacy characters provides new monetization paths, Walt Disney died in 1966 

Space race 2.0 underway with exploration, robotics, and potential market activity like SpaceX listings. Russia lands on the moon in 1966 

Environmental echoes: wildfires, disasters, and structural stress risks. Huge fires in California and on a naval ship in 1966 

Despite weaker jobs data, resilience exists in a nuanced consumer strength (XRT). In 1966 consumer spending was growing but not outpacing the broader economy.  

Labor market is changing: AI skillscontent creation, investing platforms, and alternative income streams. 1966 labor boom was industrial.
2026 labor boom is AI + automation augmented. 

Idea of universal income gaining philosophical traction among influential leaders. In 1966 there was Great Society Programs and strong unions plus, early discussions of negative income tax / guaranteed minimum income began emerging in policy circles by the late ’60s 

Crypto “coiled spring”: heavy whale accumulation, range compression, upside potential if BTC breaks above key levels. In 1966, gold was the non-government store of value.   

Oil outlook: geopolitical uncertainty vs. declining rig counts; $60 remains a meaningful pivot; watch price, not headlines. Oil price shocks of the 1970s had not yet occurred by 1966; global supplies were relatively abundant, and U.S. production dominated export markets. 

Commodities outlook: metals strong, uranium & nuclear interesting, silver dips = opportunity, natural gas not dismissed.  

Electrification theme: copper, silver, uranium central; structural shortages remain. In 1966, overall price indices showed commodity price increases across most categories, contributing to the broader inflation environment of the mid-1960s 

You will receive the Outlook 2026 PDF soon. Please check for it in your inbox. 

Have a very Healthy and Happy Holiday.. 

 

For more detailed trading information about our blended models, tools, and trader education courses, contact Rob Quinn, our Chief Strategy Consultant, to learn more. 

 

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Mish in the Media-Want to see more? All clips here  

Financial Compass Mish and Todd discuss economic data revisions and other key ways to assess future inflation 12-18-25 

Stock Traders Network Do We Believe CPI? 12-18-25 

Business First AM Having a List and Avoiding FOMO 12-19-25 

Maggie Lake Bullish Opportunities in 2026 12-15-25 

Ninja Trader Mish talks with Chigirl about 2026 12-15-25 

 

Coming Up:  

December 22 Yahoo Finance 

 

ETF Summary  

(Pivotal means short-term bullish above that level and bearish below)  

S&P 500 (SPY) 675 the 50-DMA support 

Russell 2000 (IWM) 245 the 50-DMA support 

Dow (DIA) 481 pivotal  

Nasdaq (QQQ) Now back over the 50-DMA and bullish    

Regional banks (KRE) 65 support 

Semiconductors (SMH) 350 the 50-DMA line in the sand 

Transportation (IYT) Has to clear back over 76 and hold 73  

Biotechnology (IBB) 166 support 

Retail (XRT) If December ends over 88-that is really good  

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) 85k key support if this has a chance to get back over 92k 

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