September 29, 2021
Mish's Daily
By Mish Schneider
Written by Forrest Crist-Ruiz
Wednesday showed weakness in key sectors including the biotech (IBB), semiconductors (SMH), and the transportation sector (IYT).
We have closely been watching the transportation sector for improving strength as it has attempted to clear its 50-Day moving average (DMA).
Instead IYT has broken underneath the 200-DMA, and though it sits in a support area, the failed rally through the 50-DMA shows a large amount of overhead resistance.
One sector that is standing its ground is the regional banking sector (KRE).
However, even the financial sector should be traded carefully with a looming debt ceiling ahead and only a small amount of time before a decision must be made in mid-October.
On the other hand, if the market decides to push higher, this could make financial equites enticing as their strength has shown through this week’s trading action.
One particularly interesting bank is Silvergate capital (SI).
Although it has been rangebound since May, if SI can clear the high of its range near $122 and hold, it could be ready for a major move into the $160 area.
Another factor that could make SI a stronger banking pick is its ability to offer crypto banking services along with traditional services.
Therefore, with many weak sectors not including KRE, traders should stay cautious as the debt ceiling becomes the focus for the coming weeks.
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S&P 500 (SPY) Inside day. With Tuesday low to hold at 432.94.
Russell 2000 (IWM) Needs to hold 220.
Dow (DIA) Inside day. 342.41 minor support to hold.
Nasdaq (QQQ) Needs to get back over 360.
KRE (Regional Banks) 66.35 support and 70 resistance.
SMH (Semiconductors) 250 next support area.
IYT (Transportation) Could not stay over the 200-DMA at 249.83.
IBB (Biotechnology) 157-160 major support
XRT (Retail) 92-98 rangebound area
Junk Bonds (JNK) 109.50 now resistance.
SLV (Silver) Needs to find support.
USO (US Oil Fund) 51.40 support
TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasuries) Confirmed a distribution phase under the 200-DMA.
DBA (Agriculture) Holding over the 50-DMA at 18.94.
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