December 8, 2019
By Mish Schneider
We give honorable mention to Granddad Russell 2000 IWM.
Not only did IWM show bullish muscle before the other three indices did, it also had the best percentage gain.
Partially because of a rising consumer sentiment and a declining unemployment rate, Gramps got happy.
As a result, Granny Retail XRT gained as well. More importantly, she held the major moving averages.
Big Brother Biotechnology IBB has been on a “high” since the week of October 25th.
However, a couple of the “kids” rallied into resistance.
Furthermore, one sector closed down for the week-an important sector at that.
IWM, (top left) looks intent on trying to reach its all-time high made in 2018 at 173.39. That’s both good news and bad news.
The good news is that at this rate, IWM might get there.
The bad news is that IWM has $10.00 more to run to get there. That’s a lot for an older gent.
In the middle top is Regional Banks KRE. That’s one sector that is running into resistance from February and October highs at 57.52.
Far right is the troublesome sector. IYT closed down for the week. the With the prior week’s close at 195.37, this week it closed at 192.68.
What’s wrong with IYT?
For now, it seems our Tran is not buying into the Santa rally theory.
For my money, I will be watching IYT to either get through 195 and alleviate the tension, or break below 188.25 and send an ominous signal to his brethren.
On the bottom row, we see Retail XRT. Should IYT cooperate, this sector over 45.41 has upside potential. 44.00 or the green line 200-week moving average needs to hold.
In the middle you see where the speculators have been buying. What you do not see is the resistance at its 2018 highs or 122.97.
Yes, this has been a mover and a shaker. However, as high as IBB is, it’s still far from its 2018 highs and significantly far from it’s zenith high in 2015.
Finally, the female representative of the sector Family, Semiconductors SMH, held on.
She gave us a fright the day she gapped lower. But, back she came to close shy of the all-time high 135.26.
With all this good news, what can throw a wrench into the party?
First, the back and forth trade news or fake news.
Secondly, Mr. Powell. Should the Fed hint that rates can rise given the jobs report, Gramps and the gang’s resolve will be tested.
Finally, please review the Daily from 12/05/19 on Emerging Markets with actionable info for 2020.
Russell 2000 (IWM) 161.10 support 162 pivotal and 163.41 Friday high, new 2019 high.
Dow (DIA) 279.30 the 10 DMA support. 281.91 ATH
Nasdaq (QQQ) 203.66 or the 10 DMA support 206.05 ATH.
KRE (Regional Banks) 56.00 pivotal 57.52 major resistance
SMH (Semiconductors) 132.40 or the 10 DMA support 135.26 ATH
IYT (Transportation) 188.25 key support and if fails, will impact everything. Resistance at 193.55 then 195.
IBB (Biotechnology) 116.30 key support 122.97 the 2018 high
XRT (Retail) 44.15 support 45.41 has to clear next
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