It is All Up to These Two-SMH and XRT

Mish Schneider | April 1, 2025

Monday, Granny Retail went green. 

However, as I wrote last night, we still do not know if “in the current bearish phase, we know that short covering and premature buyers cause whipsaws.” 

So, I am going to make it real …


Granny Retail Goes Green XRT

Mish Schneider | March 31, 2025

The Granny Indicator has been reliable. 

In late January, early February, while everyone was still so bullish, Granny XRT failed the high if the January 6-month calendar range and then the 50-daily moving average. 

The slope on that MA went …


Understanding the S&P 500 Sectors

Dan Taylor |

The stock market isn't a monolithic entity—it functions more like an intricate ecosystem where different sectors thrive under specific conditions. Within the S&P 500, these sectors exhibit unique characteristics, behaviors, and responses to economic shifts.

Analyzing sectors through this lens …


What To Fear From Tariffs

Geoff Bysshe | March 30, 2025

Friday’s market plunge capped off a bearish week and most likely the worst quarter since 2022. Tariffs are the news headline, and the Mag 7 are the biggest drag on the index price declines. This week, we’ll add the employment …


Time to Look at Fixed Income and Inflation Protection

Mish Schneider |

Recently, I was asked on CNBC Asia what I thought about fixed income at the present time. 

My answer was that I thought having cash allocated to some is wise and that we were doing that as well. 

Last year, …


Market Basics: Beyond the Dow

Dan Taylor | March 28, 2025

The Dow Jones Industrial Average may grab headlines, but it represents just a small fraction of the broader market. Relying solely on the Dow to gauge market conditions is like peering through a keyhole—there’s a vast landscape beyond it. Successful …


Buy the Dip or Buy the Consolidation Breakout?

Mish Schneider | March 27, 2025

During corrections, one must assess which presents less or more risk. 

Should you buy the dip on highflyers hoping you catch a bottom? 

And, as I wrote on March 11th, do you keep buying the dip on highflyers thereby buying …


Professional Sector Analysis in Sector Rotation

Dan Taylor | March 26, 2025

While amateur investors chase yesterday's winners, professional traders position themselves for tomorrow’s market leaders. The key difference? Advanced sector analysis in sector rotation—a discipline that identifies outperformers before the broader market catches on.

In today’s complex investment environment, static approaches …


Examining the Transportation Sector 

Mish Schneider | March 25, 2025

Monday, we looked at the Retail Sector XRT in detail. 

And we determined that Monday’s action is still within the range of the huge sell off 2 weeks ago. 

Plus, should XRT struggle to close out the month back above …


Examining the Retail Sector

Mish Schneider | March 24, 2025

This is a big week for data concerning the consumer. 

PCE is coming out Friday.
Tariffs remain a political football.
The Fed did not lower rates. 

And, from a technical standpoint, XRT, our Granny has the most to gain and …