The Retail Sector Remains Fragile-Sell Rallies?

Mish Schneider | February 26, 2025

While Tuesday I wrote about the strength of junk bonds in the face of risk off ratios (TLT v. SPY, HYG), today, I am still quite concerned about Granny Retail or the consumer sector. 

Investors have hopes that Nvidia earnings …


Long Bonds-Risk Indicator Risk OFF, But With a Twist

Mish Schneider | February 25, 2025

As today is Turnaround Tuesday, what bulls do not want to see, is when the long bonds (which have turned around) outperform both the S&P 500 and the Junk Bonds. 

Our Big View product tracks these ratios carefully. 

Some bullets …


Timing Mechanism for a Favorite AI Stock

Mish Schneider | February 24, 2025

As today is Technical Monday, I want to feature a stock that the recent sell-off now offers a good low risk entry point. 

Plus, it is a top pick in my Outlook 2025. 

And you get to see how our …


Storm Clouds And Lightning Strikes Are Rolling In Over U.S. Stocks

Geoff Bysshe | February 23, 2025

Please jump right into the Big View bullets and weekly video. Due to travel there will not be Outlook commentary this week.

 

 

 

Every week we review the big picture of the market's technical condition as seen through…

The Inside Sectors of the Economy Flash Warning

Mish Schneider |

November 2023 was when Granny Retail XRT cleared the 50-week moving average. 

February 2025, we are witnessing XRT breakdown below the 50-WMA. 

The good news is that 

  • We like to look at a confirmation of a major weekly phase change

  • Does Plug Power Have Any Power to Rally?

    Mish Schneider | February 19, 2025

    January 2021, Plug Power peaked at $75.49. 

    It now trades at $1.77. 

    Why does this interest me? 

    For starters, I love underdogs. 

    Secondly, the fundamentals are promising. 

    Thirdly, I see a bullish divergence in momentum and a reversal bottom ion …


    Classic Price Rules the Narrative in Bitcoin 

    Mish Schneider | February 18, 2025

    The most recent headline and hot off the press 

    “Rumors of the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) creating a national $BTC reserve spread across the crypto market.” 

    The article goes on to say that this will trigger a bull …


    China, Gold, Momentum Lead,
    but Surprisingly Savvy Investors Turn Bearish

    Geoff Bysshe | February 16, 2025

    Momentum stocks are leading the market higher, but this is much different leadership than what elevated the market in 2024.

    For example, the markets are at all-time highs, and “Risk Off” sectors (XLV, XLU, XLP) are outperforming  “Risk On” sectors …


    Does the Economic Modern Family Love High Flying Stocks?

    Mish Schneider |

    What a week! 

    CPI, PPI, Retail Sales, Fed Speak, Earnings, Tariffs on then Postponed, China, Yields rise then fall, the Dollar rises then falls, Gold makes a new all-time high, Growth outperforms value. 

    If I were a slam poet, that …


    CPI and the Gold to Silver Ratio 

    Mish Schneider | February 12, 2025

    I had a great and informative interview today with Dale Pinkert of Forex Analytics. 

    We discussed many macro themes. 

  • The hotter than expected CPI number 
  • The trouble in the bond market 
  • The dollar most likely topping out 
  • The reasons to