4 of the 6 Economic Modern Family Members Trending

February 27, 2024

Mish's Daily

By Mish Schneider


MarketGauge has several quantitative trading models.

We use our own proprietary indicator to rank the strongest performers in all the models.

This model is our Sector Rotation Portfolio with conservative risk parameters.

The top TSI ranking sector is and remains Semiconductors-or Sister Semiconductors in the Economic Modern Family.

You can see number 2 and 3-homebuilders and technology.

Technology is close enough to semiconductors.

Homebuilders are not in the Family as they are important, but not the most salient aspects of the US Economy.

The FOURTH ranking sector though, is our Granny Retail. Last nights Daily covered why that is so important to the overall macro.

And what is also exciting is that Transportation or our Tran member is number 6 and Brother Biotechnology is number 8.

That makes four of the six members on the top 10 of the trend strength rankings.

Why is this so exciting?

I created the characters in 2016. The Family represents the economy for sure, but also the market.

The market is often 6 months ahead of the economic statistics.

The Family is the best leading indicator as it reflects the market but also tells us what to expect going forward.

As our Sectors ETF model has well outperformed since 2007, naturally since the Modern Family has made the cut, means that they too can begin to outperform.

“Leading sectors always outperform” is the basis of our quants.

And it is the basis of why we use the Family to gauge how the market will do (and the economy).

We already know how powerful the move in SMH or semiconductors has been to date.

Imagine if Granny Retail, Biotechnology, Transportation and even Financials continue up the TSI ranking food chain?

 

For more detailed trading information about our blended models, tools, and trader education courses, contact Rob Quinn, our Chief Strategy Consultant, to learn more.
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The Money Life with Chuck Jaffee Where Mish sees the markets going in the short and longer term 2024 podcast 02-06-24

Benzinga Morning Pre Market Mish sits with the team to discuss the recent job report and how a healthy economy is not the worst thing. It just means a reset of how investors invest 02-02-24

Kitco News An Article with Neils Christensen on the direction for gold 01-30-24

 

Coming Up:

February 29 Yahoo Finance

February 29 Your Daily Five Stockcharts

March 1 Real Vision 3 Crypto Trades

March 6 Trader’s Summit

March 8 Schwab

Weekly: Business First AM, CMC Markets

 

ETF Summary

S&P 500 (SPY) 500 support 510 resistance

Russell 2000 (IWM) 195 support 205 to clear

Dow (DIA) 385 pivotal

Nasdaq (QQQ) 430 support

Regional banks (KRE) Back to the 45-50 range

Semiconductors (SMH) 200 support

Transportation (IYT 276 should hold

Biotechnology (IBB) Looking at 140-142 next levels to clear

Retail (XRT) 75.50 2023 high cleared, now needs to hold

iShares iBoxx Hi Yd Cor Bond ETF (HYG) 77 big number to hold

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