April 3, 2022
By Mish Schneider
Written by Forrest Crist-Ruiz
The past week was a chop fest in the major indices with large intraday price swings.
While the 3 major indices closed roughly flat on Friday, the Russell 2000 (IWM) made a late-day turnaround ending up over 0.8% on the day.
Although IWM closed under its pivotal $209 level, it looks to be attempting to hold the $206 area.
With that said, on Monday we should watch for IWM to again clear and hold over $209.
Moving on to Mish’s Economic Modern Family, two of the seven members show strength as they held important areas in both price and momentum.
In the above chart, you can see bitcoin on the left and biotech ETF (IBB) on the right.
Underneath both charts are our Real Motion and Leadership indicators.
Currently, bitcoin has been battling to hold its new support level at 45K.
If it can hold, it will look to clear resistance from its 200-Day moving average at 48k.
When it comes to momentum, the dotted red line is holding near its upper band showing both momentum and price agree.
If BTC continues higher, we can watch for both momentum and price to clear the 200-DMA.
It should also be noted that BTC is outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) based on the leadership indicator.
Pivoting away from the crypto space, of all the ETFs in Mish’s Economic Modern Family, the biotech space (IBB) closed the strongest on Friday.
Again, both momentum and price are moving together while the leadership indicator shows that IBB is outperforming SPY.
With that said, on Monday we should watch for a continuation of the biotech space, and when it comes to bitcoin, keep an eye out for 45k to hold and 48k to clear.
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S&P 500 (SPY) 447 support.
Russell 2000 (IWM) 209 pivotal.
Dow (DIA) 343 the 50-DMA.
Nasdaq (QQQ) 348 next main support. 369 to clear.
KRE (Regional Banks) confirmed caution phase with second close under the 200-DMA at 69.
SMH (Semiconductors) Watch for second close under the 50-DMA at 266.
IYT (Transportation) Large selloff does not look good. Watching for a breakdown into the 250 area.
IBB (Biotechnology) 127 main support the 50-DMA.
XRT (Retail) Back into a bearish phase with second close under the 50-DMA at 77.
GLD (Gold) Like to see this bet back over 182.
USO (oil) main support the 50-DMA at 69.81.
DBA (Agriculture) 22.30 resistance area. 21.26 support.
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