December 7, 2020
By Mish Schneider
Written by Mish and Forrest
The current market situation shows a quick attempt to push a smaller stimulus bill by the end of December before eviction protection and unemployment benefits end.
If failed it could potentially leave as many as 19 million people at risk from becoming evicted.
This potential strain on the market could be the reason that safety plays such as gold (GLD) and 20 year U.S bonds (TLT) have moved up recently as worries grow over cut benefits.
Above you can see a chart of TLTs showing a potential double bottom pattern from its recent low at 154.77.
Additionally, GLD has made a comeback from 166 and is now looking to make a phase change if it closes over the 50 day moving average at 176.50.
With that said, NASDAQ did make a new all-time high as did the Russell 2000 IWM. Hope springs eternal.
In the meantime, the early dip in food commodities was bought up by investors along with gold, silver and gold miners.
Steel continues to rise and a new shining trade-uranium woke up this past week.
With the dollar weak, bonds yields falling again, more stim behind this stop gap measure if passes, and a potential rally in oil and energy, inflation is still very much on our minds for 2021.
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Russell 2000 (IWM) Closed near last week's highs with support 180.30
Dow (DIA) 300 is important to hold as new support.
Nasdaq (QQQ) Record close. 300 support the 10-DMA
KRE (Regional Banks) 51.07 Resistance. Support 47.22
SMH (Semiconductors) Strong close with 210 support the 10-DMA
IYT (Transportation) 225.49 resistance. 218.64 support.
IBB (Biotechnology) Needs to close over 148 resistance. 145 area support.
XRT (Retail) Support 59.24
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