September 3, 2024
Mish's Daily
By Mish Schneider
By now I am sure you have heard how horrible September usually is for the markets.
Indeed, the start of September looks a lot worse than it did at the end of August.
Nonetheless, be careful trading on adages.
And be careful not to become too extreme in sentiment.
NASDAQ is down, true, but Granny Retail XRT is trying to hold around the 50-DMA.
Transportation IYT is well above the 50-DMA and holding the July 6-month calendar range high.
You have to look at the inside sectors for perspective.
On another note, since we are in a new season, I thought this a good time to also make the Daily more consistent in terms of themes for each day.
Hence, going forward:
Technical Monday-that will feature a technical setup that looks interesting
Turnaround Tuesday-this will cover a stock, sector, commodity that either turned direction up or down, or looks to be ready to do so soon
Hump Day Wednesday-this Daily will focus on the midweek setup with expectations for the remainder of the week
Thursday-no Daily that day
Finale Friday-as per usual, we will cover the week’s performance in the Economic Modern Family and how to plan for the upcoming week.
Since today is Tuesday, the turnaround theme looks obvious with the sell off, especially in tech, but what else looks ripe for a turnaround?
Here are two stocks to look at.
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In the true spirit of turnaround Tuesday, the 2 stocks I am featuring are both very beat up, which would make the turnaround quite spectacular if happens.
Full disclosure, we have no position in either of these stocks.
Stratasys (SSYS) is a 3-D printing company. The stock peaked in July 2023 and has had a massive move lower.
After a gap lower post earnings, the stock reversed that same day and now is trading within the range that day (2 trading days ago).
We like 3-D printing and yet, the companies are perhaps the worst in turning profits.
If SSYS leaves an island bottom, we will be keen to see follow through.
MP Materials (MP) reported and announced a huge buyback program. This company mines rare earth minerals.
Another one in a downtrend since April 2022, we like the bullish divergence on our Real Motion momentum indicator.
Therefore, we will watch for a phase change should the price clear back above the 50-DMA (blue line).
Educational purposes only, not official trading advice.
For more detailed trading information about our blended models, tools, and trader education courses, contact Rob Quinn, our Chief Strategy Consultant, to learn more.
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Mish in the Media-Want to see more? All clips here
Stockpick.app clip and full interview Mish goes through the modern family and a plan 09-02-24
Business First AM As the company celebrates the 10th year anniversary, Mish shares her thoughts 09-02-24
Yahoo Finance Mish discusses why you should watch retail and a shift in the tech sector 08-30-24
MoneyFM 89.3 Singapore Mish forecasts where consumer sentiments are headed and her latest stock picks. 08-28-24
Benzinga Pre-Market Prep Mish covers stagflation, conditions to look for, the consumer and few choice stock picks 08-28-24
Coming Up:
September 4 Michael Gayed Lead-Lag
September 9 Maggie Lake
September 12 Jim Pupluva Financial Sense
September 27 Real Vision
Weekly: Business First AM, stockpick.app
ETF Summary
(Pivotal means short-term bullish above that level and bearish below)
S&P 500 (SPY) 550 the 50-DMA
Russell 2000 (IWM) 212 the 50-DMA
Dow (DIA) 410 support
Nasdaq (QQQ) Unconfirmed warning phase with 455 some support
Regional banks (KRE) 57 pivotal
Semiconductors (SMH) weakest sector with support at 217 the 200-DMA
Transportation (IYT) Inside day and still some relative strength
Biotechnology (IBB) 145-150 new range
Retail (XRT) Failed the 50-DMA and needs a second day to confirm or not
iShares iBoxx Hi Yd Cor Bond ETF (HYG) Weaker but still risk on unless it breaks 78
Every day you'll be prepared to trade with: