March 14, 2023
By Mish Schneider
Folks are calling the FED opening swap lines on the entire US Banking deposit base to the tune of $17.6 trillion as QE infinity.
Moody’s cut its outlook on the banking system to negative, saying that it is a rapidly deteriorating operating envornment.
The market though, generally focused on one thing-CPI.
CPI came in as expected-6.0% and softer.
Core CPI though came in a 5%-higher.
The chart shows you the areas of inflationary growth versus decline.
Nevertheless, the metals shone all around.
Our GEMS Global Macro or Global ETFS Stocks Macro and Sectors model signaled a buy in gold last week.
Now, gold miners, based on the strength of this sector, signaled.
Monday’s Daily reported on the reasons to watch the gold to silver ratio.
A 5-year historical look at the gold to silver ratio shows a move over 90 (bullish) while our Leadership indicator shows silver equally performing the gold.
That tells us that the precious metals are getting ready to roar.
Even with oil prices falling today, GDX held steadfast.
GDX now outperforms the SPY.
Momentum has a positive divergence where the red dots are not inline with the 50-DMA (blue line).
Meanwhile, the price sits below its 50-DMA yet well above the 200-DMA or in a caution phase (improvement from a distribution phase.
Should the price clear the 50-DMA in price, then the phase returns to bullish.
For more detailed trading information about our blended models, tools, and trader education courses, contact Rob Quinn, our Chief Strategy Consultant, to learn more.
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"I grew my money tree and so can you!"- Mish Schneider
Mish in the Media
TD Ameritrade with Nicole Petallides 03-13-23
CMC Markets Whats On Mish’s Radar? 03-08-23
CNBC Asia 03-06-23
Business First AM 03-07-23
Daily Briefing Real Vision 03-01-23
Kitco Gold and Sugar 3-01-23 Print Article
Your Daily Five StockchartsTV-Stock Picks 03-01-23 On our YT
March 16th Twitter Spaces with Wolf_Financial
March 16th Final Bar with Dave Keller StockchartsTV
And down the road
March 20th Madam Trader Podcast with Ashley Kyle Miller
March 22nd, The RoShowPod with Rosanna Prestia
March 24th Opening Bell with BNN Bloomberg
March 30th Your Daily Five StockchartsTV
March 31st Festival of Learning Real Vision “Portfolio Doctor”
April 24-26 Mish at The Money Show in Las Vegas
May 2-5 StockChartsTV Market Outlook
S&P 500 (SPY) 390 remains highly pivotal especially on a closing basis
Russell 2000 (IWM) Calendar range support level at 172.00 and resistance 180
Dow (DIA) 310 support 324 resistance
Nasdaq (QQQ) 290 the 50-DMA support 294 the 50-WMA resistance
Regional banks (KRE) Tested near the 50 resistance level and colosed just slightly above 44 support
Semiconductors (SMH) 240 pivotal support-strongest yet still below the 2-yr biz cycle
Transportation (IYT) Confirmed Distribution Phase and weak close-under 219 trouble
Biotechnology (IBB) 126.50 moving average resistance
Retail (XRT) 60 big support and 64 big resistance
Every day you'll be prepared to trade with: