Threadbare Bull Phase $SPY $QQQ $IWM

July 24, 2012

Mish's Daily

By Mish Schneider


Another big burst of volume in S&P 500 on a red day making this now the third distribution day in a week. But, oh what a tease, after testing the 50 DMA, closing right above it-just to keep us all interested. Late day earnings mixed and late day rumors of QE3 both add to the uncertainty.

S&P 500 (SPY) Bearish engulfing candle on big volume in a hanging on by a thread bull phase getting a bit oversold-piece of cake!

Russell 2000 (IWM) 77.34 puts this back over the 200 DMA with an oversold RSI.

Dow (DIA) Unconfirmed warning phase whilst it held the 200 DMA.

NASDAQ 100 (QQQ) Same here with distribution day in volume and barely hanging onto the 50 DMA. With AAPL's poor earnings, afraid will have to sit this out now unless a miracle happens and it gaps above Tuesday's high.

ETFs:

GLD 152-154 recent range-looks like it might be ready to go higher should this level clear.

XLF (Financials) 14.11 the 200 DMA

IBB (Biotechnology) Looking more like July might close out under 130, as a key reversal to its beautiful uptrend

SMH (Semiconductors) Closed under 30.50 which means lower likely.

XRT (Retail) Subs: 58.43 R1 with support at today's lows

IYR (Real Estate) 63.67 the 7/12 still holding

USO (US Oil Fund) Inside day and an outperformer of the market. Will watch the way the range breaks

XLE (Energy) Remember I wrote that a run to 69.00 would be a great short opportunity? Issue was, the gap yesterday made that a difficult entry.

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