Turnaround Tuesday: A Look at Emerging Markets

December 3, 2024

Mish's Daily

By Mish Schneider


The DAX is a stock market index consisting of the 40 major German blue-chip companies trading on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange.  

Here are the top five weighted sectors: 

Sector Weightings 

Industrials 24.51% 

Financial Services 20.33% 

Technology 18.47% 

Consumer Cyclical 10.27% 

Communication Services 7.25% 

The German economy, hit hard by a manufacturing slowdown and weak demand for its exports, has struggled in 2024 and is on course to contract for a second straight year. 

However, despite headwinds, the DAX jumped above 20,000 points. 

The euro's recent weakness has boosted Germany's export-oriented companies, while easing interest rates both in the eurozone and the United States have also helped sentiment.  

Plus, the DAX has caught some of the euphoria from a Trump win with promised tax cuts and deregulation. 

The DAX also hopes for China stimulus as China is a crucial exporter. 

German investors are hopeful the resolution of ongoing political problems will be solved with new elections in Germany that will produce a government that will stimulate growth. 

Looking at the chart: 

What piqued my interest is the volume pattern, which you can see at the bottom of the chart. The volume has spiked since yesterday. 

Then, DAX confirmed the phase change to bullish. 

And Real Motion shows momentum slightly behind so the real fun may not have begun just yet. 

Finally, note that DAX is outperforming the benchmark in leadership! 

We see some chart resistance overhead at $34.50, but like the clear support just under the 50-DMA.  

Please check out the podcast link on the long bonds and their importance  

 

Educational purposes only, not official trading advice. 

For more detailed trading information about our blended models, tools, and trader education courses, contact Rob Quinn, our Chief Strategy Consultant, to learn more.

 


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Mish in the Media-Want to see more? All clips here 

Mish and Bysshe Podcast Keep Your Eyes on these Bond ETFs 12-03-24 

Singapore Radio How Big Will the Santa Claus Rally Be? 12-02-24 

Making Money With Charles Payne Mish talks Small Caps and the Vanity trade heading into 2025 11-27-24 

 

Coming Up: 

December 5-7, 2024 Money Show Master Class 

December 10 The PMP Show 

December 10 BNN Bloomberg 

Dec 18 CNA Asia 

Weekly: Business First AM 

 

ETF Summary 

(Pivotal means short-term bullish above that level and bearish below) 

S&P 500 (SPY) 600 pivotal-new highs 

Russell 2000 (IWM) 238-240 support to hold 

Dow (DIA) 445 pivotal  

Nasdaq (QQQ) 507 support-new highs 

Regional banks (KRE) 65 support 70 resistance 

Semiconductors (SMH) 235 the 200-DMA to hold 250 resistance 

Transportation (IYT) 72.50 support  

Biotechnology (IBB) 140 support  

Retail (XRT) 80 support 87 resistance 

iShares iBoxx Hi Yd Cor Bond ETF (HYG) 79.50 pivotal  

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