Battle of the Elders: Grandpa Russell 2000 V. Granny Retail

May 22, 2023

Mish's Daily

By Mish Schneider


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Just look at the March lows in Granddad Russell 2000 (IWM).

Now look at the March lows in Granny Retail (XRT).

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So who is right?

IWM has moved up for the March lows and to start the week, took the lead.

IWM cleared the 50-DMA in price now in recuperation phase.

Real Motion-our proprietary indicator that lets you see hidden strength or weakness during market trends-right now is as interesting as the diversion in price between Gramps and Granny.

IWM’s momentum indicator cleared the 50 and 200-DMAs changing phase to accumulation.

That is a bullish diversion for IWM as the price is still under the 200-DMA.

Granny XRT on the other hand, shows momentum declining and below both moving averages.

However, could be a mean reversion forming. Or at least we hope so.

Granny’s price sits at the March lows and at the 6-month calendar range low.

She must get game, or I would assume like her grandson Regional Banks KRE-she is flashing a huge warning.

 

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Mish in the Media -
All clips here

TD Ameritrade 05-22-23

Daily Briefing Real Vision 05-19-23

CMC Markets Currencies, oil, gas and lithium 05-17-23

Business First AM Retail 05-16-23

CMC Markets Currencies and Commodities 05-10-23

Business First Am GME 05-10-23

Making Money with Charles Payne Fox Business 05-10-23

Business First AM 05-09-23

Daily Briefing Real Vision 05-09-23

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Coming Up:

May 23, 25 Mario Nawfal Twitter Space

May 25 Wolf Financial Twitter Spaces

May 31st Singapore Radio with Kai Ting 6:05 PM ET MoneyFM 89.3

June 2nd Yahoo Finance

 

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ETF Summary

S&P 500 (SPY) 23-month MA 420 Support 415

Russell 2000 (IWM) 170 support - 180 resistance

Dow (DIA) 336 the 23-month MA

Nasdaq (QQQ) 336 cleared or the 23-month MA-now its all about staying above

Regional banks (KRE) 42 now pivotal resistance-37 support

Semiconductors (SMH) 23-month MA at 124 now more in the rear-view mirror

Transportation (IYT) 202-240 biggest range to watch

Biotechnology (IBB) 121-135 range to watch from monthly charts

Retail (XRT) This could be the new harbinger like KRE was in March. Poor Granny

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