March 27, 2014
Mish's Daily
By Mish Schneider
Perhaps, Perhaps, Perhaps Songwriter Joe Davis plus
Perhaps S&P 500 holding the 50 DMA is a sign that the worst for this week is over. Perhaps, it just means the short shooters show up at the end of the week, taking it down beneath.
Certainly looking at closing prices on the indices, one can surmise, that the market remains vulnerable with the freshest of sellers a bit dried up for now.
Loving the commodities plays this year-especially the softs. We rode coffee up-now no position, took multiple profits in corn-still friendly, been in and out of sugar, cotton, oil and energy. All in all, the best places to be, giving us ample patience to wait out the gyrations of the equities markets, cherry picking those with the best risks.
On the equities side of market life-right now, the real estate sector intrigues me. Held the 50 DMA and a weekly close over 67.00 defends the weekly moving average. Having spent years under water, holding these levels could easily give the group new life.
Perhaps the best sign of the day is the volatility index which sold off significantly looking like a trendline break possible then trip closer back to the recent lows
S&P 500 (SPY) 186.05 and above new life. Otherwise, all eyes on the 50 DMA
Russell 2000 (IWM) 115.49 is the 50 DMA-will be real interesting to see if this holds end of week
Dow (DIA) Best performing group-162.50 good level to cross and the 50 is sitting there also beckoning
Nasdaq (QQQ) I would find it hard to believe this can cross back over the 50 DMA so eyes here for a reality check if the other indices firm
XLF (Financials) 21.70 the 50 DMA 22.20 the point to clear
SMH (Semiconductors) Confirmed a top for now-watching how far it corrects
IYT (Transportation) Hello 50 DMA
IBB (Biotechnology) Held the January opening prices-watch to see if that support give it more bounce
XRT (Retail) My vote for most likely to visit the underlying weekly moving average
IYR (Real Estate) See above
GLD 125.65 if clears would not rules this out
USO (US Oil Fund) gap and hammer doji-over 37.34 negates the island top
OIH (Oil Services) Inside day near the highs
XLE (Energy) Couldn’t quite close over 88.00 but good clearance of that as the week comes to an end, is encouraging
XOP (Oil and Gas Exploration) Gave us the strength we sought-now has to clear 71.00 really
TBT (Ultrashort Lehman 20+ Year Treasuries) Where she stops nobody knows
UUP (Dollar Bull) Looks to be basing
EEM (Emerging Markets) In an unconfirmed accumulation phase
EWG (Germany) Confirmed bullish phase
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