Oil the New Gold-Buy When There’s Blood in the Street

November 16, 2023

Mish's Daily

By Mish Schneider


Weaker labor market, manufacturing production slowing, new home prices falling and crude oil inventories rising more than expected are all to blame for the big drop in oil prices.

US also eased sanctions on Venezuelan oil.

That’s the nature of commodities.

Fresh news can supersede older headlines and force the weaker longs out of their positions as we saw today.

But-

Thanksgiving travel will goose demand.

So will the decline in crude floating storage. Tankers holding crude are been at the lowest levels in 2 ¾ years.

India has increased consumption.

OPEC+ will continue cuts of production.

Pick your side.

I am going with oil is the new gold.

The futures contract (December) looks oversold and into support at $72.00 per barrel.

The USO ETF chart just broke the July 6-month calendar range high (horizontal green line).

And looking oversold.

More importantly, 67 is huge support so we are close if not at the bottom.

And if oil is the new gold, you buy it when it looks awful, sell it when it looks strong.

 

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Mish in the Media - All clips here

Making Money With Charles Payne Fox-Mish discusses small caps and how they could still run, the Fed and gives 3 picks 11-16-23

Business First AM-Tencent Music TME 10-27-23

Mish Live on Fox with Charles Payne discussing bonds 10-27-23

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Coming Up:

CNBC Asia 11-16-23

BNN Bloomberg 11-17-23

Yahoo Finance 11-20-23

Real Vision 11-20-23

StockchartsTV Your Daily Five 11-28-23

Live Coaching 11-30-23

December 3-December 13 Money Show Webinar-at-Sea

Weekly: Business First AM, CMC Markets

 

ETF Summary

S&P 500 (SPY) 450 clears see 465 Under 450 435 support

Russell 2000 (IWM) 181 resistance 174 support

Dow (DIA) 360 resistance 346 support

Nasdaq (QQQ) 388 must clear and 370 must hold

Regional banks (KRE) 45 big resistance

Semiconductors (SMH) 160-161 now pivotal

Transportation (IYT) 235 support

Biotechnology (IBB) 120 pivotal

Retail (XRT) 65 resistance and 60 pivotal support

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